Football · Spain Tercera Group 13 · 20/09, 11:00
Prediction: FC Cartagena B vs UCAM Murcia CF B
Team pages: FC Cartagena B · UCAM Murcia CF B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
FC Cartagena B1.3
UCAM Murcia CF B1.52
1X2
FC Cartagena B
Draw
UCAM Murcia CF B
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Cartagena B
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
UCAM Murcia CF B
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Cartagena B
2–2–2
UCAM Murcia CF B
(6 last)
- UCAM Murcia CF B2-1FC Cartagena B
- FC Cartagena B1-2UCAM Murcia CF B
- FC Cartagena B1-0UCAM Murcia CF B
- UCAM Murcia CF B1-1FC Cartagena B
- UCAM Murcia CF B1-1FC Cartagena B
- FC Cartagena B3-2UCAM Murcia CF B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Cartagena B 1421 · UCAM Murcia CF B 1562
| FC Cartagena B | Draw | UCAM Murcia CF B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UCAM Murcia CF B (rating 1421 vs 1562).
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Cartagena B | UCAM Murcia CF B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 2.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/63/13% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 1.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Cartagena B 2–2–2 UCAM Murcia CF B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 13 | UCAM Murcia CF B | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Cartagena B |
| 05/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 13 | FC Cartagena B | 1-2 HT 1-1 | UCAM Murcia CF B |
| 19/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 13 | FC Cartagena B | 1-0 HT 1-0 | UCAM Murcia CF B |
| 08/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 13 | UCAM Murcia CF B | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Cartagena B |
| 20/03/22 Spain Tercera Group 13 | UCAM Murcia CF B | 1-1 | FC Cartagena B |
| 07/11/21 Spain Tercera Group 13 | FC Cartagena B | 3-2 HT 1-0 | UCAM Murcia CF B |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 13
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Molinense CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | San Javier CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Bullas Deportivo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | At. Pulpileno | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Santomera | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Cotillas CD | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Bala Azul | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | SFC Minerva | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | UCAM Murcia CF B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Atletico Santa Cruz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Aguilas B | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Alcantarilla FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | UD Los Garres | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Olimpico Totana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | FC Cartagena B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Mazarron | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | CD Algar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Deportivo Maritimo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Cartagena B | UCAM Murcia CF B |
|---|---|---|
| Union Molinense CF | 2-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Atletico Santa Cruz | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Santomera | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Muleno | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: UCAM Murcia CF B (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Cartagena B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | SFC Minerva Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Union Molinense CF Spain Tercera Group 13 |
1-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Atletico Santa Cruz Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Santomera Spain Tercera Group 13 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 25/04 | UD Caravaca Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Cieza Spain Tercera Group 13 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Bala Azul Spain Tercera Group 13 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/04 | Olimpico Totana Spain Tercera Group 13 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Muleno Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Real Murcia B Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
UCAM Murcia CF B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Deportivo Maritimo Spain Tercera Group 13 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Santomera Spain Tercera Group 13 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Aguilas B Spain Tercera Group 13 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Muleno Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Mazarron Spain Tercera Group 13 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | El Palmar CF Estrella Grana Spain Tercera Group 13 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Deportivo Maritimo Spain Tercera Group 13 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 02/04 | Union Molinense CF Spain Tercera Group 13 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 29/03 | Atletico Santa Cruz Spain Tercera Group 13 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Santomera Spain Tercera Group 13 |
2-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Cartagena B vs UCAM Murcia CF B?
According to our model, the most likely result is an UCAM Murcia CF B win (41%). Probabilities: FC Cartagena B 32%, draw 27%, UCAM Murcia CF B 41%.
How many goals are expected in FC Cartagena B vs UCAM Murcia CF B?
The model expects 2.82 goals (FC Cartagena B 1.3 · UCAM Murcia CF B 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Cartagena B vs UCAM Murcia CF B?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.