Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 13/09, 19:00

Prediction: At. Bembibre vs Mirandes B

Team pages: At. Bembibre · Mirandes B

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
At. Bembibre1.42
Mirandes B1.52
1X2
34% 27% 39%
At. Bembibre Draw Mirandes B
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
At. Bembibre 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLDLDDDWLW
Mirandes B 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDLLWDLLWL
Head-to-head
At. Bembibre 4–2–0 Mirandes B (6 last)
  • Mirandes B2-2At. Bembibre
  • At. Bembibre1-0Mirandes B
  • Mirandes B1-2At. Bembibre
  • At. Bembibre2-2Mirandes B
  • At. Bembibre3-1Mirandes B
  • Mirandes B1-2At. Bembibre
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · At. Bembibre 1512 · Mirandes B 1434
At. BembibreDrawMirandes B
Our model34%27%39%
Market34%27%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours At. Bembibre (rating 1512 vs 1434).
  • H2H favours At. Bembibre: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

At. BembibreMirandes B
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 21.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.80.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)67/17/17%14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.53.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.34.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · At. Bembibre 420 Mirandes B

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Spain Tercera Group 8
Mirandes B2-2At. Bembibre
14/12/25
Spain Tercera Group 8
At. Bembibre1-0
HT 0-0
Mirandes B
15/03/25
Spain Tercera Group 8
Mirandes B1-2
HT 1-2
At. Bembibre
27/10/24
Spain Tercera Group 8
At. Bembibre2-2Mirandes B
05/05/24
Spain Tercera Group 8
At. Bembibre3-1
HT 2-0
Mirandes B
13/01/24
Spain Tercera Group 8
Mirandes B1-2
HT 1-1
At. Bembibre

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Burgos Promesas 2200 406
2 CD Atletico Mansilles 2110 324
2 Almazan 2110 324
4 At. Bembibre 1100 203
4 Cultural Leonesa B 1100 203
4 CDA Palencia 1100 203
7 CD Virgen Del Camino 1100 213
8 CD Calasanz 1100 103
8 UD Santa Marta 1100 103
10 Salamanca B 2011 231
10 Unionistas de Salamanca CF B 2011 231
12 Arandina 2011 121
13 Cristo Atletico 2011 131
14 Turegano CF 1001 120
15 Guijuelo 1001 010
15 Villaralbo 1001 010
17 Mirandes B 1001 020
18 CD Colegios Diocesanos 2002 050

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAt. BembibreMirandes B
CDA Palencia 1-4 L 0-2 L
Arandina 3-3 D 1-2 L
UD Santa Marta 2-2 D 2-3 L
CD Virgen Del Camino 1-3 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

At. Bembibre

WLDLDDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Cristo Atletico
Spain Tercera Group 8
1-0 2-0 37 W
10/05 CDA Palencia
Spain Tercera Group 8
1-1 1-4 30 L
02/05 Becerril
Spain Tercera Group 8
3-1 4-1 43 W
26/04 Arandina
Spain Tercera Group 8
3-3 D
18/04 Mirandes B
Spain Tercera Group 8
2-2 D
11/04 UD Santa Marta
Spain Tercera Group 8
1-0 2-2 74 D
05/04 CD Virgen Del Camino
Spain Tercera Group 8
1-3 1-3 20 L
28/03 CD Atletico Mansilles
Spain Tercera Group 8
1-1 D
21/03 Atletico Tordesillas
Spain Tercera Group 8
1-4 L
14/03 Numancia B
Spain Tercera Group 8
1-0 2-0 25 W

Mirandes B

LDLLWDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 CDA Palencia
Spain Tercera Group 8
0-0 0-2 23 L
09/05 Villaralbo
Spain Tercera Group 8
3-0 4-2 41 W
02/05 Arandina
Spain Tercera Group 8
1-2 L
25/04 CD Colegios Diocesanos
Spain Tercera Group 8
1-3 L
18/04 At. Bembibre
Spain Tercera Group 8
2-2 D
11/04 Unionistas de Salamanca CF B
Spain Tercera Group 8
1-1 2-1 14 W
03/04 UD Santa Marta
Spain Tercera Group 8
0-2 2-3 147 L
29/03 Guijuelo
Spain Tercera Group 8
0-0 0-1 17 L
21/03 CD Virgen Del Camino
Spain Tercera Group 8
0-0 1-1 71 D
15/03 Cultural Leonesa B
Spain Tercera Group 8
0-1 0-2 57 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in At. Bembibre vs Mirandes B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mirandes B win (39%). Probabilities: At. Bembibre 34%, draw 27%, Mirandes B 39%.

How many goals are expected in At. Bembibre vs Mirandes B?

The model expects 2.94 goals (At. Bembibre 1.42 · Mirandes B 1.52), with a 62% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in At. Bembibre vs Mirandes B?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.