Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 20/09, 18:30

Prediction: Cristo Atletico vs Guijuelo

Team pages: Cristo Atletico

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Cristo Atletico1.2

Guijuelo1.1

1X2

37% 30% 32%

Cristo Atletico Draw Guijuelo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Cristo Atletico 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Guijuelo 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cristo Atletico 2–1–2 Guijuelo (5 last)

Guijuelo1-2Cristo Atletico
Cristo Atletico1-2Guijuelo
Cristo Atletico3-0Guijuelo
Guijuelo1-0Cristo Atletico
Cristo Atletico0-0Guijuelo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cristo Atletico 1534 · Guijuelo 1538

	Cristo Atletico	Draw	Guijuelo
Our model	37%	31%	32%
Market	37%	30%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cristo Atletico	Guijuelo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.48 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.84

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:38 +4’	2.40	3.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:04 +150’	2.48	2.86	2.84

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cristo Atletico 2–1–2 Guijuelo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 8	Guijuelo	1-2	Cristo Atletico
20/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cristo Atletico	1-2 HT 0-1	Guijuelo
22/01/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	Cristo Atletico	3-0 HT 1-0	Guijuelo
04/09/22 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	Guijuelo	1-0 HT 0-0	Cristo Atletico
03/08/19 Europe Friendlies	Cristo Atletico	0-0 HT 0-0	Guijuelo

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Virgen Del Camino	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Burgos Promesas	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
3	Cultural Leonesa B	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
4	UD Santa Marta	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
5	At. Bembibre	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
6	CD Atletico Mansilles	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	Almazan	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
8	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
9	CDA Palencia	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
10	CD Calasanz	2	1	0	1	2	4	3
11	Salamanca B	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
11	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	Arandina	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	Mirandes B	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
14	Cristo Atletico	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
16	Villaralbo	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
17	Turegano CF	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
18	CD Colegios Diocesanos	2	0	0	2	0	5	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cristo Atletico	Guijuelo
CD Colegios Diocesanos	2-1 W	4-0 W
Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	0-1 L	2-1 W
Cultural Leonesa B	1-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Guijuelo (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cristo Atletico

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	0-2	9	7	L
10/05	CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-1	–	–	W
02/05	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/04	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-1	–	–	W
18/04	Cultural Leonesa B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
11/04	CD Mojados Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-1	–	–	W
04/04	Almazan Spain Tercera Group 8	–	4-2	–	–	W
28/03	CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
22/03	Becerril Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	1-1	5	7	D

Guijuelo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	CD Calasanz Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	UD Santa Marta Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
10/05	Atletico Tordesillas Spain Tercera Group 8	–	4-0	–	–	W
02/05	Numancia B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-0	–	–	W
26/04	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-2	–	–	L
18/04	Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/04	CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8	–	4-0	–	–	W
04/04	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
29/03	Mirandes B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
22/03	Cultural Leonesa B Spain Tercera Group 8	–	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cristo Atletico vs Guijuelo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cristo Atletico win (37%). Probabilities: Cristo Atletico 37%, draw 30%, Guijuelo 32%.

How many goals are expected in Cristo Atletico vs Guijuelo?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Cristo Atletico 1.2 · Guijuelo 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cristo Atletico vs Guijuelo?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.