Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 20/09, 17:30

Prediction: Mirandes B vs Cultural Leonesa B

Team pages: Mirandes B · Cultural Leonesa B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Mirandes B1.28

Cultural Leonesa B1.19

1X2

38% 29% 33%

Mirandes B Draw Cultural Leonesa B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Mirandes B 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWDLLWLD

Cultural Leonesa B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWDWW

Head-to-head

Mirandes B 1–2–3 Cultural Leonesa B (6 last)

Cultural Leonesa B2-0Mirandes B
Mirandes B0-1Cultural Leonesa B
Mirandes B1-1Cultural Leonesa B
Cultural Leonesa B1-2Mirandes B
Mirandes B1-1Cultural Leonesa B
Cultural Leonesa B2-0Mirandes B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mirandes B 1436 · Cultural Leonesa B 1528

	Mirandes B	Draw	Cultural Leonesa B
Our model	37%	30%	33%
Market	38%	29%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cultural Leonesa B (rating 1436 vs 1528).
H2H favours Cultural Leonesa B: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mirandes B	Cultural Leonesa B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/71/14%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.1	2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.10

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +9’	2.38	3.10	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mirandes B 1–2–3 Cultural Leonesa B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cultural Leonesa B	2-0 HT 1-0	Mirandes B
02/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	Mirandes B	0-1 HT 0-1	Cultural Leonesa B
26/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	Mirandes B	1-1 HT 1-1	Cultural Leonesa B
14/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cultural Leonesa B	1-2 HT 0-0	Mirandes B
18/02/24 Spain Tercera Group 8	Mirandes B	1-1 HT 0-0	Cultural Leonesa B
30/09/23 Spain Tercera Group 8	Cultural Leonesa B	2-0 HT 1-0	Mirandes B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Virgen Del Camino	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Burgos Promesas	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
3	Cultural Leonesa B	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
4	UD Santa Marta	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
5	At. Bembibre	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
6	CD Atletico Mansilles	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	Almazan	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
8	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
9	CDA Palencia	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
10	CD Calasanz	2	1	0	1	2	4	3
11	Salamanca B	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
11	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	Arandina	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	Mirandes B	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
14	Cristo Atletico	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
16	Villaralbo	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
17	Turegano CF	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
18	CD Colegios Diocesanos	2	0	0	2	0	5	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mirandes B	Cultural Leonesa B
CDA Palencia	0-2 L	1-0 W
Villaralbo	4-2 W	1-2 L
CD Colegios Diocesanos	1-3 L	2-0 W
Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	2-1 W	0-4 L
Guijuelo	0-1 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Mirandes B (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mirandes B

DLLWDLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
06/09	CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
09/05	Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8	3-0	4-2	4	1	W
02/05	Arandina Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-2	–	–	L
25/04	CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-3	–	–	L
18/04	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/04	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Spain Tercera Group 8	1-1	2-1	1	4	W
03/04	UD Santa Marta Spain Tercera Group 8	0-2	2-3	14	7	L
29/03	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
21/03	CD Virgen Del Camino Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	1-1	7	1	D

Cultural Leonesa B

LLWLLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
06/09	CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
10/05	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
02/05	Atletico Tordesillas Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/04	Numancia B Spain Tercera Group 8	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
18/04	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
11/04	Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
05/04	CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8	3-0	3-0	4	5	W
28/03	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-3	0-4	3	0	L
22/03	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mirandes B vs Cultural Leonesa B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mirandes B win (38%). Probabilities: Mirandes B 38%, draw 29%, Cultural Leonesa B 33%.

How many goals are expected in Mirandes B vs Cultural Leonesa B?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Mirandes B 1.28 · Cultural Leonesa B 1.19), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mirandes B vs Cultural Leonesa B?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.