Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 06/09, 18:00
Prediction: Mirandes B vs CDA Palencia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Mirandes B1.49
CDA Palencia1.3
1X2
Mirandes B
Draw
CDA Palencia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Mirandes B
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
CDA Palencia
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mirandes B
2–4
CDA Palencia
(6 last)
- CDA Palencia3-1Mirandes B
- Mirandes B0-2CDA Palencia
- CDA Palencia1-2Mirandes B
- CDA Palencia1-2Mirandes B
- Mirandes B0-2CDA Palencia
- Mirandes B0-1CDA Palencia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mirandes B 1437 · CDA Palencia 1532
| Mirandes B | Draw | CDA Palencia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CDA Palencia (rating 1437 vs 1532).
- H2H favours CDA Palencia: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mirandes B | CDA Palencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/57/29% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 5.1 | 3.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mirandes B 2–0–4 CDA Palencia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 8 | CDA Palencia | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Mirandes B |
| 21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 8 | Mirandes B | 0-2 | CDA Palencia |
| 20/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 8 | CDA Palencia | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Mirandes B |
| 23/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 8 | CDA Palencia | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Mirandes B |
| 12/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 8 | Mirandes B | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CDA Palencia |
| 02/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 8 | Mirandes B | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CDA Palencia |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | At. Bembibre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | CD Atletico Mansilles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | UD Santa Marta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Burgos Promesas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CD Calasanz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CD Colegios Diocesanos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guijuelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mirandes B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Villaralbo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CD Virgen Del Camino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cultural Leonesa B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CDA Palencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Salamanca B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Almazan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Turegano CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Arandina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Cristo Atletico | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mirandes B | CDA Palencia |
|---|---|---|
| Villaralbo | 4-2 W | 2-3 L |
| CD Colegios Diocesanos | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| At. Bembibre | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Unionistas de Salamanca CF B | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| UD Santa Marta | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| CD Virgen Del Camino | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| CD Atletico Mansilles | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CDA Palencia (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mirandes B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Arandina Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Spain Tercera Group 8 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | UD Santa Marta Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 14 | 7 | L |
| 29/03 | Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 21/03 | CD Virgen Del Camino Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 15/03 | Cultural Leonesa B Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 07/03 | CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
CDA Palencia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | UD Santa Marta Spain Tercera Group 8 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | CD Virgen Del Camino Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Atletico Tordesillas Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | Numancia B Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 21/03 | Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/03 | CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/03 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF B Spain Tercera Group 8 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mirandes B vs CDA Palencia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mirandes B win (40%). Probabilities: Mirandes B 40%, draw 28%, CDA Palencia 31%.
How many goals are expected in Mirandes B vs CDA Palencia?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Mirandes B 1.49 · CDA Palencia 1.3), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mirandes B vs CDA Palencia?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.