Football · Spain Tercera Group 9 · 27/09, 12:15
Prediction: Arenas vs CD Huetor Vega
Team pages: Arenas · CD Huetor Vega
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Arenas1.62
CD Huetor Vega0.9
1X2
Arenas
Draw
CD Huetor Vega
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Arenas
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
CD Huetor Vega
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arenas
1–4–1
CD Huetor Vega
(6 last)
- CD Huetor Vega1-1Arenas
- Arenas2-1CD Huetor Vega
- CD Huetor Vega2-1Arenas
- Arenas1-1CD Huetor Vega
- Arenas1-1CD Huetor Vega
- CD Huetor Vega0-0Arenas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arenas 1530 · CD Huetor Vega 1456
| Arenas | Draw | CD Huetor Vega | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 27% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 28% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arenas (rating 1530 vs 1456).
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arenas | CD Huetor Vega | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/25/75% | 29/29/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arenas 1–4–1 CD Huetor Vega
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 9 | CD Huetor Vega | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Arenas |
| 07/12/25 Spain Tercera Group 9 | Arenas | 2-1 HT 0-0 | CD Huetor Vega |
| 09/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 9 | CD Huetor Vega | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Arenas |
| 27/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 9 | Arenas | 1-1 | CD Huetor Vega |
| 12/05/24 Spain Tercera Group 9 | Arenas | 1-1 | CD Huetor Vega |
| 14/01/24 Spain Tercera Group 9 | CD Huetor Vega | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Arenas |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 9
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Marbelli | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Arenas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | UD San Pedro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Atletico Porcuna CF | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | Almeria B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Motril | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Recreativo Granada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Alhaurino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atletico Malagueno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | UD Torre del Mar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | CD Atletico de Marbella Paraiso | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Churriana de la Vega CF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Cantoria 2017 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 15 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Atletico Mancha Real | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | CD Huetor Vega | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | CD Malaga Juniors FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arenas | CD Huetor Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mancha Real | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CD Torreperogil | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Arenas (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | Atletico Mancha Real Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Atletico de Marbella Paraiso Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | UD San Pedro Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Alhaurino Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Recreativo Granada Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | CD Huetor Vega Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 05/04 | CD Huetor Tajar Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 01/04 | CD Torreperogil Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
CD Huetor Vega
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FC Marbelli Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Melilla Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Motril Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Martos CD Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | CP Mijas Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | FC Marbelli Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Atletico Mancha Real Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 12/04 | Arenas Spain Tercera Group 9 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 05/04 | Churriana de la Vega CF Spain Tercera Group 9 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | CD Torreperogil Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arenas vs CD Huetor Vega?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arenas win (53%). Probabilities: Arenas 53%, draw 27%, CD Huetor Vega 20%.
How many goals are expected in Arenas vs CD Huetor Vega?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Arenas 1.62 · CD Huetor Vega 0.9), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arenas vs CD Huetor Vega?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.