Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 23/08, 19:45
Prediction: Barracas Central vs Platense
Team pages: Barracas Central · Platense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Barracas Central0.99
Platense0.9
1X2
Barracas Central
Draw
Platense
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Barracas Central
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Platense
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barracas Central
1–2–3
Platense
(6 last)
- Platense1-0Barracas Central
- Platense0-0Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-0Platense
- Platense0-0Barracas Central
- Platense1-0Barracas Central
- Platense1-0Barracas Central
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barracas Central 1482 · Platense 1494
| Barracas Central | Draw | Platense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Market | 36% | 33% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Platense: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barracas Central | Platense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.1 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barracas Central 1–2–3 Platense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 17/08/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 11/04/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Platense |
| 31/07/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 29/10/19 Argentina Nacional B | Platense | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Barracas Central |
| 14/04/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Platense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Sarmiento | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Gimnasia LP | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Huracan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Independiente Rivadavia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atlético Tucumán | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | River Plate | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barracas Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/07 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 03/06 | Huracan Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Vasco da Gama Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | Audax Italiano Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Platense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/08 | Coquimbo Unido Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Corinthians Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 13/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Penarol Copa Libertadores |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barracas Central vs Platense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barracas Central win (35%). Probabilities: Barracas Central 35%, draw 34%, Platense 31%.
How many goals are expected in Barracas Central vs Platense?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Barracas Central 0.99 · Platense 0.9), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Barracas Central vs Platense?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.