Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 22/08, 21:00
Prediction: Atlético Tucumán vs Instituto AC Cordoba
Team pages: Atlético Tucumán · Instituto AC Cordoba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.77Total
Atlético Tucumán0.95
Instituto AC Cordoba0.82
1X2
Atlético Tucumán
Draw
Instituto AC Cordoba
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Atlético Tucumán
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Instituto AC Cordoba
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atlético Tucumán
2–1–3
Instituto AC Cordoba
(6 last)
- Instituto AC Cordoba2-1Atlético Tucumán
- Instituto AC Cordoba2-0Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán3-2Instituto AC Cordoba
- Atlético Tucumán1-0Instituto AC Cordoba
- Instituto AC Cordoba3-0Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán0-0Instituto AC Cordoba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atlético Tucumán 1529 · Instituto AC Cordoba 1580
| Atlético Tucumán | Draw | Instituto AC Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 36% | 29% |
| Market | 37% | 32% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.77 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Instituto AC Cordoba (rating 1529 vs 1580).
- H2H favours Instituto AC Cordoba: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlético Tucumán | Instituto AC Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.5 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlético Tucumán 2–1–3 Instituto AC Cordoba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 12/10/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 08/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 26/07/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 30/01/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 29/08/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Gimnasia LP | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | CA Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Huracan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Independiente Rivadavia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Sarmiento | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Atlético Tucumán | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | River Plate | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlético Tucumán
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/05 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Instituto AC Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 30/07 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Lanus Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 05/05 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/04 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlético Tucumán vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlético Tucumán win (37%). Probabilities: Atlético Tucumán 37%, draw 34%, Instituto AC Cordoba 29%.
How many goals are expected in Atlético Tucumán vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
The model expects 1.77 goals (Atlético Tucumán 0.95 · Instituto AC Cordoba 0.82), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlético Tucumán vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.