Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 24/08, 02:30
Prediction: Racing Club vs Boca Juniors
Team pages: Racing Club · Boca Juniors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Racing Club0.79
Boca Juniors1.02
1X2
Racing Club
Draw
Boca Juniors
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Boca Juniors
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing Club
3–2–1
Boca Juniors
(6 last)
- Boca Juniors0-0Racing Club
- Boca Juniors0-1Racing Club
- Boca Juniors1-1Racing Club
- Racing Club2-0Boca Juniors
- Racing Club2-1Boca Juniors
- Boca Juniors4-2Racing Club
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club 1524 · Boca Juniors 1574
| Racing Club | Draw | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 35% | 39% |
| Market | 27% | 33% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Juniors (rating 1524 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Racing Club: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.1 | 3.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club 3–2–1 Boca Juniors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Racing Club |
| 07/12/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Racing Club |
| 09/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Racing Club |
| 09/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Boca Juniors |
| 14/09/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Boca Juniors |
| 11/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Racing Club |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Sarmiento | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Gimnasia LP | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Atlético Tucumán | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | CA Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Huracan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Independiente Rivadavia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | River Plate | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing Club | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes LP | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Huracan | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/07 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Boca Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 17 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/04 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 12/04 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Boca Juniors win (39%). Probabilities: Racing Club 27%, draw 34%, Boca Juniors 39%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Racing Club 0.79 · Boca Juniors 1.02), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.