Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 23/08, 02:00
Prediction: Newell's vs Banfield
Team pages: Newell's · Banfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Newell's1.13
Banfield0.9
1X2
Newell's
Draw
Banfield
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Newell's
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Banfield
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Newell's
2–4
Banfield
(6 last)
- Banfield3-0Newell's
- Newell's1-2Banfield
- Banfield3-0Newell's
- Banfield2-0Newell's
- Newell's1-0Banfield
- Banfield1-2Newell's
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Newell's 1501 · Banfield 1511
| Newell's | Draw | Banfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 27% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Banfield: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newell's | Banfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 4.7 | 1.7 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newell's 2–0–4 Banfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Newell's |
| 20/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Newell's | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Banfield |
| 28/01/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Newell's |
| 05/06/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Newell's |
| 19/02/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Newell's | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
| 04/06/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Newell's |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Sarmiento | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Gimnasia LP | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Huracan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Independiente Rivadavia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atlético Tucumán | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | River Plate | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newell's
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Copa Santa Fe |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 12 | D |
| 25/07 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Banfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/04 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newell's vs Banfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Newell's win (40%). Probabilities: Newell's 40%, draw 32%, Banfield 28%.
How many goals are expected in Newell's vs Banfield?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Newell's 1.13 · Banfield 0.9), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Newell's vs Banfield?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.