Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 17/10, 19:30

Prediction: Vilanova Geltru vs FE Grama

Team pages: Vilanova Geltru · FE Grama

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Vilanova Geltru1.11
FE Grama0.79
1X2
43% 31% 26%
Vilanova Geltru Draw FE Grama
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Vilanova Geltru 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWLDWDWD
FE Grama 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWWDLWLW
Head-to-head
Vilanova Geltru 0–1–1 FE Grama (2 last)
  • FE Grama0-0Vilanova Geltru
  • Vilanova Geltru1-3FE Grama
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vilanova Geltru 1550 · FE Grama 1544
Vilanova GeltruDrawFE Grama
Our model42%34%24%
Market45%28%27%
Estimated total (ours) 1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Vilanova GeltruFE Grama
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.91.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.41 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/50/25%56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.82 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.14.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vilanova Geltru 0–1–1 FE Grama

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/01/26
Spain Tercera Group 5
FE Grama0-0
HT 0-0
Vilanova Geltru
13/09/25
Spain Tercera Group 5
Vilanova Geltru1-3
HT 1-2
FE Grama

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CF Montanesa 6402 9412
2 FE Grama 6312 11410
3 Badalona 6312 10410
4 CE L'Hospitalet 6240 9610
5 Pobla Mafumet 6312 9710
6 Vilanova Geltru 5230 759
7 FC Martinenc 6231 13129
8 CE Europa B 6222 1078
9 Atletic Lleida 6222 788
10 Peralada 6141 757
11 UE Cornella 6141 767
12 CFJ Mollerussa 6213 457
13 CP San Cristobal 6213 5137
14 FC L'Escala 6213 897
15 UE San Juan Montcada 5203 5106
16 Cerdanyola del Valles FC 6132 686
17 UE Tona 6204 596
18 UE Vilassar de Mar 6114 5154

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVilanova GeltruFE Grama
CFJ Mollerussa 1-0 W 2-1 W
UE Cornella 0-1 L 1-1 D
FC L'Escala 2-1 W 2-1 W
UE Vilassar de Mar 0-1 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FE Grama (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vilanova Geltru

LWWWLDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Badalona
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-0 0-0 34 D
27/09 Pobla Mafumet
Spain Tercera Group 5
2-1 3-2 59 W
19/09 Peralada
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-0 1-1 35 D
13/09 CFJ Mollerussa
Spain Tercera Group 5
– 1-0 –– W
05/09 CE L'Hospitalet
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-0 2-2 07 D
17/05 UE Cornella
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-0 0-1 41 L
10/05 Lleida
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-1 2-1 97 W
03/05 CF Can Vidalet
Spain Tercera Group 5
1-0 1-0 53 W
26/04 FC L'Escala
Spain Tercera Group 5
– 2-1 –– W
18/04 UE Vilassar de Mar
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-1 0-1 15 L

FE Grama

DWWWWDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/10 CP San Cristobal
Spain Tercera Group 5
4-0 5-0 27 W
11/10 UE Tona
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-0 0-1 79 L
27/09 UE Vilassar de Mar
Spain Tercera Group 5
1-0 3-0 28 W
20/09 CF Montanesa
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-1 0-1 12 L
13/09 FC Martinenc
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-0 1-1 113 D
05/09 FC L'Escala
Spain Tercera Group 5
1-0 2-1 65 W
10/05 UE Vilassar de Mar
Spain Tercera Group 5
1-0 1-0 33 W
03/05 CFJ Mollerussa
Spain Tercera Group 5
– 2-1 –– W
26/04 CP San Cristobal
Spain Tercera Group 5
2-0 3-1 42 W
19/04 UE Cornella
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-0 1-1 17 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vilanova Geltru vs FE Grama?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vilanova Geltru win (43%). Probabilities: Vilanova Geltru 43%, draw 31%, FE Grama 26%.

How many goals are expected in Vilanova Geltru vs FE Grama?

The model expects 1.9 goals (Vilanova Geltru 1.11 · FE Grama 0.79), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vilanova Geltru vs FE Grama?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.