Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 18/10, 12:00

Prediction: Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs CF Montanesa

Team pages: Cerdanyola del Valles FC · CF Montanesa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Cerdanyola del Valles FC1.18

CF Montanesa1.22

1X2

34% 29% 37%

Cerdanyola del Valles FC Draw CF Montanesa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cerdanyola del Valles FC 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWDLWDLD

CF Montanesa 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Cerdanyola del Valles FC 2–2–2 CF Montanesa (6 last)

CF Montanesa1-1Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Cerdanyola del Valles FC0-1CF Montanesa
Cerdanyola del Valles FC3-1CF Montanesa
CF Montanesa0-0Cerdanyola del Valles FC
CF Montanesa1-0Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Cerdanyola del Valles FC2-0CF Montanesa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 1502 · CF Montanesa 1504

	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	Draw	CF Montanesa
Our model	34%	30%	36%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	CF Montanesa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.1	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.20

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.99 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:28 +22’	2.55	3.20	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:24 +86’	2.99	2.90	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerdanyola del Valles FC 2–2–2 CF Montanesa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	1-1 HT 0-1	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
07/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	0-1 HT 0-1	CF Montanesa
04/05/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	3-1 HT 1-0	CF Montanesa
22/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	0-0 HT 0-0	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
07/05/17 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	1-0 HT 0-0	Cerdanyola del Valles FC
11/12/16 Spain Tercera Group 5	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	2-0 HT 1-0	CF Montanesa

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CF Montanesa	6	4	0	2	9	4	12
2	FE Grama	6	3	1	2	11	4	10
3	Badalona	6	3	1	2	10	4	10
4	CE L'Hospitalet	6	2	4	0	9	6	10
5	Pobla Mafumet	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
6	Vilanova Geltru	5	2	3	0	7	5	9
7	FC Martinenc	6	2	3	1	13	12	9
8	CE Europa B	6	2	2	2	10	7	8
9	Atletic Lleida	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
10	Peralada	6	1	4	1	7	5	7
11	UE Cornella	6	1	4	1	7	6	7
12	CFJ Mollerussa	6	2	1	3	4	5	7
13	CP San Cristobal	6	2	1	3	5	13	7
14	FC L'Escala	6	2	1	3	8	9	7
15	UE San Juan Montcada	5	2	0	3	5	10	6
16	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	6	1	3	2	6	8	6
17	UE Tona	6	2	0	4	5	9	6
18	UE Vilassar de Mar	6	1	1	4	5	15	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	CF Montanesa
FC Martinenc	2-2 D	2-3 L
CE L'Hospitalet	2-2 D	0-1 L
FC L'Escala	1-0 W	2-0 W
CE Europa B	0-0 D	0-1 L
Peralada	2-2 D	0-5 L
UE Vic	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Cerdanyola del Valles FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cerdanyola del Valles FC

DDDWDLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
27/09	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
20/09	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
12/09	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
10/05	CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
03/05	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-2	2	1	D
26/04	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
19/04	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-2	4-4	4	13	D

CF Montanesa

WLLLWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
11/10	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	1-2	2-3	5	3	L
27/09	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	6	9	L
20/09	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
12/09	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
06/09	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	3-0	4	8	W
10/05	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-5	–	–	L
03/05	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
25/04	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
19/04	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs CF Montanesa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CF Montanesa win (37%). Probabilities: Cerdanyola del Valles FC 34%, draw 29%, CF Montanesa 37%.

How many goals are expected in Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs CF Montanesa?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Cerdanyola del Valles FC 1.18 · CF Montanesa 1.22), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cerdanyola del Valles FC vs CF Montanesa?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.