Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 18/10, 12:00

Prediction: CP San Cristobal vs FC L'Escala

Team pages: CP San Cristobal · FC L'Escala

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

CP San Cristobal1.43

FC L'Escala1.33

1X2

39% 28% 34%

CP San Cristobal Draw FC L'Escala

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CP San Cristobal 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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FC L'Escala 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLWDL

Head-to-head

CP San Cristobal 3–3 FC L'Escala (6 last)

FC L'Escala3-0CP San Cristobal
CP San Cristobal0-1FC L'Escala
CP San Cristobal1-0FC L'Escala
FC L'Escala0-1CP San Cristobal
FC L'Escala3-1CP San Cristobal
CP San Cristobal2-1FC L'Escala

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CP San Cristobal 1432 · FC L'Escala 1491

	CP San Cristobal	Draw	FC L'Escala
Our model	38%	28%	34%
Market	39%	27%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC L'Escala (rating 1432 vs 1491).
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CP San Cristobal	FC L'Escala
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.3	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/11/56%	0/43/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.3	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.4	4.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.25

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.88 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:06 +44’	2.30	3.25	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:30 +140’	2.29	3.11	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CP San Cristobal 3–0–3 FC L'Escala

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	FC L'Escala	3-0 HT 0-0	CP San Cristobal
16/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CP San Cristobal	0-1 HT 0-0	FC L'Escala
04/05/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CP San Cristobal	1-0 HT 0-0	FC L'Escala
22/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	FC L'Escala	0-1	CP San Cristobal
30/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	FC L'Escala	3-1	CP San Cristobal
12/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 5	CP San Cristobal	2-1 HT 0-1	FC L'Escala

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CF Montanesa	6	4	0	2	9	4	12
2	FE Grama	6	3	1	2	11	4	10
3	Badalona	6	3	1	2	10	4	10
4	CE L'Hospitalet	6	2	4	0	9	6	10
5	Pobla Mafumet	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
6	Vilanova Geltru	5	2	3	0	7	5	9
7	FC Martinenc	6	2	3	1	13	12	9
8	CE Europa B	6	2	2	2	10	7	8
9	Atletic Lleida	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
10	Peralada	6	1	4	1	7	5	7
11	UE Cornella	6	1	4	1	7	6	7
12	CFJ Mollerussa	6	2	1	3	4	5	7
13	CP San Cristobal	6	2	1	3	5	13	7
14	FC L'Escala	6	2	1	3	8	9	7
15	UE San Juan Montcada	5	2	0	3	5	10	6
16	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	6	1	3	2	6	8	6
17	UE Tona	6	2	0	4	5	9	6
18	UE Vilassar de Mar	6	1	1	4	5	15	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CP San Cristobal	FC L'Escala
FE Grama	0-5 L	1-2 L
CE Europa B	1-0 W	2-0 W
UE Tona	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC L'Escala (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CP San Cristobal

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-4	0-5	2	7	L
11/10	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
27/09	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-4	0-4	3	8	L
20/09	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-1	9	9	W
13/09	Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-2	4	9	L
06/09	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
09/05	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
03/05	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	4-0	3	8	W
26/04	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	1-3	1	2	L
19/04	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D

FC L'Escala

LLWLLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
10/10	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	1-2	3-2	8	7	W
20/09	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
13/09	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
05/09	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
09/05	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
03/05	Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	–	4-1	–	–	W
26/04	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-2	–	–	L
18/04	CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-2	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CP San Cristobal vs FC L'Escala?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CP San Cristobal win (39%). Probabilities: CP San Cristobal 39%, draw 28%, FC L'Escala 34%.

How many goals are expected in CP San Cristobal vs FC L'Escala?

The model expects 2.76 goals (CP San Cristobal 1.43 · FC L'Escala 1.33), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CP San Cristobal vs FC L'Escala?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.