Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 18/10, 11:45

Prediction: UE Tona vs CE Europa B

Team pages: UE Tona · CE Europa B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

UE Tona1.3

CE Europa B1.23

1X2

37% 29% 34%

UE Tona Draw CE Europa B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

UE Tona 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DDLWLWLLLW

CE Europa B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLDLDWWL

Head-to-head

UE Tona 1–3–0 CE Europa B (4 last)

UE Tona1-1CE Europa B
CE Europa B0-0UE Tona
CE Europa B0-1UE Tona
UE Tona2-2CE Europa B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UE Tona 1481 · CE Europa B 1491

	UE Tona	Draw	CE Europa B
Our model	37%	29%	34%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UE Tona	CE Europa B
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.4	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.8	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.20

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.77 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:29 +17’	2.40	3.20	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +92’	2.77	2.97	2.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · UE Tona 1–3–0 CE Europa B

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Tona	1-1	CE Europa B
05/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CE Europa B	0-0 HT 0-0	UE Tona
09/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CE Europa B	0-1 HT 0-1	UE Tona
27/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Tona	2-2	CE Europa B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CF Montanesa	6	4	0	2	9	4	12
2	FE Grama	6	3	1	2	11	4	10
3	Badalona	6	3	1	2	10	4	10
4	CE L'Hospitalet	6	2	4	0	9	6	10
5	Pobla Mafumet	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
6	Vilanova Geltru	5	2	3	0	7	5	9
7	FC Martinenc	6	2	3	1	13	12	9
8	CE Europa B	6	2	2	2	10	7	8
9	Atletic Lleida	6	2	2	2	7	8	8
10	Peralada	6	1	4	1	7	5	7
11	UE Cornella	6	1	4	1	7	6	7
12	CFJ Mollerussa	6	2	1	3	4	5	7
13	CP San Cristobal	6	2	1	3	5	13	7
14	FC L'Escala	6	2	1	3	8	9	7
15	UE San Juan Montcada	5	2	0	3	5	10	6
16	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	6	1	3	2	6	8	6
17	UE Tona	6	2	0	4	5	9	6
18	UE Vilassar de Mar	6	1	1	4	5	15	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UE Tona	CE Europa B
Badalona	1-3 L	2-0 W
CFJ Mollerussa	0-1 L	0-3 L
FC L'Escala	2-0 W	0-2 L
UE Vilassar de Mar	1-3 L	6-1 W
CP San Cristobal	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: UE Tona (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UE Tona

DDLWLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
03/10	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	1-3	4	5	L
26/09	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	1-2	1-2	5	11	L
19/09	Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-3	–	–	L
13/09	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
09/05	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
03/05	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-3	–	–	L
26/04	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/04	CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D

CE Europa B

WWLLDLDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
04/10	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	3-1	6-1	1	3	W
27/09	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	7	9	W
19/09	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	3-3	4	8	D
13/09	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
06/09	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
10/05	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
03/05	CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	0-4	9	8	L
26/04	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
19/04	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	2-0	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UE Tona vs CE Europa B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UE Tona win (37%). Probabilities: UE Tona 37%, draw 29%, CE Europa B 34%.

How many goals are expected in UE Tona vs CE Europa B?

The model expects 2.53 goals (UE Tona 1.3 · CE Europa B 1.23), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UE Tona vs CE Europa B?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.