Football · Japan FA Cup · 19/08, 12:00

Prediction: Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto

Team pages: Gainare Tottori · Roasso Kumamoto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

Gainare Tottori1.18

Roasso Kumamoto1.06

1X2

38% 31% 32%

Gainare Tottori Draw Roasso Kumamoto

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gainare Tottori 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDWDDL

Roasso Kumamoto 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDWLDD

Head-to-head

Gainare Tottori 2–2–2 Roasso Kumamoto (6 last)

Gainare Tottori0-2Roasso Kumamoto
Roasso Kumamoto0-1Gainare Tottori
Gainare Tottori1-2Roasso Kumamoto
Roasso Kumamoto1-1Gainare Tottori
Gainare Tottori2-1Roasso Kumamoto
Roasso Kumamoto1-1Gainare Tottori

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gainare Tottori 1519 · Roasso Kumamoto 1515

	Gainare Tottori	Draw	Roasso Kumamoto
Our model	37%	31%	31%
Market	38%	30%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gainare Tottori	Roasso Kumamoto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	0.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.9	1.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	2.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.49 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:24 +3’	2.38	3.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:42 +1’	2.49	2.78	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gainare Tottori 2–2–2 Roasso Kumamoto

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Gainare Tottori	0-2 HT 0-0	Roasso Kumamoto
15/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Roasso Kumamoto	0-1 HT 0-0	Gainare Tottori
28/08/21 Japan J3-League	Gainare Tottori	1-2 HT 0-1	Roasso Kumamoto
20/06/21 Japan J3-League	Roasso Kumamoto	1-1 HT 1-0	Gainare Tottori
20/12/20 Japan J3-League	Gainare Tottori	2-1 HT 1-0	Roasso Kumamoto
29/07/20 Japan J3-League	Roasso Kumamoto	1-1 HT 1-1	Gainare Tottori

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gainare Tottori	Roasso Kumamoto
Ehime FC	0-4 L	1-0 W
Oita	0-0 D	1-0 W
FC Ryukyu	3-1 W	0-1 L
Reilac Shiga	3-2 W	2-0 W
Giravanz Kitakyushu	1-1 D	2-1 W
Renofa Yamaguchi	4-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Roasso Kumamoto (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Gainare Tottori

WLDWWDWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Ehime FC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-4	3	1	L
08/08	FC Osaka Japan J3-League	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
06/06	FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
31/05	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
24/05	Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
17/05	FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-1	3-1	5	1	W
13/05	Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-1	3-2	5	1	W
10/05	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
06/05	Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-3	0-4	6	1	L
02/05	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	3-0	4-1	9	2	W

Roasso Kumamoto

WWWLLDWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Tochigi SC Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
08/08	Sagamihara Japan J3-League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
06/06	Sagamihara Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	0-3	1	0	L
30/05	Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
23/05	Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
17/05	Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	1-2	5	2	L
10/05	FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
06/05	Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
03/05	Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
29/04	Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-0	1	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gainare Tottori win (38%). Probabilities: Gainare Tottori 38%, draw 31%, Roasso Kumamoto 32%.

How many goals are expected in Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Gainare Tottori 1.18 · Roasso Kumamoto 1.06), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Gainare Tottori vs Roasso Kumamoto?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.