Football · Japan FA Cup · 19/08, 12:00
Prediction: Tochigi SC vs Briobecca Urayasu SC
Team pages: Tochigi SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Tochigi SC1.44
Briobecca Urayasu SC0.74
1X2
Tochigi SC
Draw
Briobecca Urayasu SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Tochigi SC
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Briobecca Urayasu SC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tochigi SC 1488 · Briobecca Urayasu SC 1502
| Tochigi SC | Draw | Briobecca Urayasu SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 27% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tochigi SC | Briobecca Urayasu SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/90/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.7 | 2.2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tochigi SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J3-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J3-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/05 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Briobecca Urayasu SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan JFL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan JFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan JFL Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | YSCC Japan JFL Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/03 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan JFL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/11 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16/11 | Reilac Shiga Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/11 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 25/10 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tochigi SC vs Briobecca Urayasu SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tochigi SC win (53%). Probabilities: Tochigi SC 53%, draw 28%, Briobecca Urayasu SC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Tochigi SC vs Briobecca Urayasu SC?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Tochigi SC 1.44 · Briobecca Urayasu SC 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tochigi SC vs Briobecca Urayasu SC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.