Football · Japan FA Cup · 19/08, 12:00

Prediction: Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Okinawa SV

Team pages: Giravanz Kitakyushu

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Giravanz Kitakyushu1.79
Okinawa SV1.28
1X2
49% 25% 26%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Draw Okinawa SV
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DLWLDLLLDD
Okinawa SV 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWWDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giravanz Kitakyushu 1443 · Okinawa SV 1500
Giravanz KitakyushuDrawOkinawa SV
Our model48%25%26%
Market49%25%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Okinawa SV (rating 1443 vs 1500).
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Giravanz KitakyushuOkinawa SV
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.91.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.10.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 42.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.11.9 / 0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giravanz Kitakyushu

DLWLDLLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-0 23 D
07/06 Tochigi SC
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-0 1-1 44 D
31/05 Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-2 1-3 30 L
24/05 Kagoshima United
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-2 1-5 32 L
17/05 Reilac Shiga
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-1 61 L
10/05 Gainare Tottori
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-1 1-1 66 D
06/05 Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-1 1-2 43 L
03/05 Oita
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
2-1 2-1 34 W
29/04 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-2 0-3 43 L
25/04 Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-2 2-2 52 D

Okinawa SV

LLLLLWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/06 Reinmeer Aomori
Japan JFL Cup
2-0 4-1 41 W
17/05 Honda FC
Japan JFL Cup
0-0 1-0 11 W
19/04 Maruyasu Okazaki
Japan JFL Cup
1-0 1-1 92 D
11/04 Verspah Oita
Japan JFL Cup
0-0 3-1 42 W
05/04 Veertien Mie
Japan JFL Cup
0-0 3-0 13 W
22/03 FC Tiamo Hirakata
Japan JFL Cup
0-1 1-3 94 L
23/11 Veertien Mie
Japan Football League
0-1 0-6 12 L
16/11 FC Tiamo Hirakata
Japan Football League
0-2 0-3 52 L
09/11 Minebea Mitsumi
Japan Football League
0-2 1-2 51 L
01/11 Honda FC
Japan Football League
1-1 1-3 11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Okinawa SV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Giravanz Kitakyushu win (49%). Probabilities: Giravanz Kitakyushu 49%, draw 25%, Okinawa SV 26%.

How many goals are expected in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Okinawa SV?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Giravanz Kitakyushu 1.79 · Okinawa SV 1.28), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Okinawa SV?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.