Football · Japan FA Cup · 19/08, 12:00

Prediction: Nara Club vs FC Osaka

Team pages: Nara Club · FC Osaka

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Nara Club1.26
FC Osaka1.57
1X2
29% 28% 43%
Nara Club Draw FC Osaka
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nara Club 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWLWDWLL
FC Osaka 2-7-1 (W-D-L)
DDWLDDDDDW
Head-to-head
Nara Club 0–3–3 FC Osaka (6 last)
  • Nara Club1-3FC Osaka
  • FC Osaka2-0Nara Club
  • Nara Club1-1FC Osaka
  • FC Osaka1-1Nara Club
  • Nara Club0-1FC Osaka
  • FC Osaka0-0Nara Club
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nara Club 1489 · FC Osaka 1526
Nara ClubDrawFC Osaka
Our model30%27%43%
Market29%28%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours FC Osaka: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nara ClubFC Osaka
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.81.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 10.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 2.72.3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 02.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nara Club 033 FC Osaka

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/05/26
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
Nara Club1-3
HT 0-2
FC Osaka
06/03/26
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
FC Osaka2-0
HT 0-0
Nara Club
27/09/25
Japan J3-League
Nara Club1-1
HT 1-0
FC Osaka
30/06/25
Japan J3-League
FC Osaka1-1
HT 0-1
Nara Club
13/10/24
Japan J3-League
Nara Club0-1
HT 0-0
FC Osaka
02/06/24
Japan J3-League
FC Osaka0-0
HT 0-0
Nara Club

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNara ClubFC Osaka
Tokushima Vortis 2-1 W 2-2 D
FC Imabari 2-1 W 1-2 L
Kochi United 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nara Club (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nara Club

DWLWLWDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Kagoshima United
Japan J3-League
1-1 1-3 14 L
09/08 Ehime FC
Japan J3-League
0-3 1-4 30 L
06/06 Matsumoto Y FC
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
2-0 2-0 06 W
30/05 Oita
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-3 3-3 60 D
23/05 Kataller Toyama
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
3-0 5-1 02 W
16/05 Albirex Niigata
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 1-2 22 L
10/05 Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-0 2-1 51 W
06/05 FC Osaka
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-2 1-3 54 L
03/05 FC Imabari
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
2-1 2-1 02 W
29/04 Kochi United
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-0 51 D

FC Osaka

DDWLDDDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Parceiro Nagano
Japan J3-League
1-1 4-2 62 W
08/08 Gainare Tottori
Japan J3-League
0-1 1-1 23 D
06/06 Jubilo Iwata
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 1-1 32 D
30/05 Reilac Shiga
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-0 61 D
24/05 Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-1 2-2 73 D
17/05 Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-1 1-1 32 D
09/05 FC Imabari
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-1 1-2 72 L
06/05 Nara Club
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
2-0 3-1 54 W
02/05 Kochi United
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-0 85 D
29/04 Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
1-1 2-2 124 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nara Club vs FC Osaka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Osaka win (43%). Probabilities: Nara Club 29%, draw 28%, FC Osaka 43%.

How many goals are expected in Nara Club vs FC Osaka?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Nara Club 1.26 · FC Osaka 1.57), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nara Club vs FC Osaka?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.