Football · Japan FA Cup · 19/08, 12:00

Prediction: Verspah Oita vs Kochi United

Team pages: Kochi United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Verspah Oita0.87
Kochi United1.55
1X2
21% 26% 53%
Verspah Oita Draw Kochi United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Verspah Oita 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWWWLLWL
Kochi United 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DDLWLLDLDL
Head-to-head
Verspah Oita 3–1–1 Kochi United (5 last)
  • Kochi United0-1Verspah Oita
  • Verspah Oita1-0Kochi United
  • Verspah Oita0-0Kochi United
  • Verspah Oita0-1Kochi United
  • Verspah Oita2-1Kochi United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Verspah Oita 1492 · Kochi United 1452
Verspah OitaDrawKochi United
Our model20%28%52%
Market21%25%54%
Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Verspah Oita (rating 1492 vs 1452).
  • H2H favours Verspah Oita: 3-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Verspah OitaKochi United
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.50.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.20.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.61.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.22.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Verspah Oita 311 Kochi United

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/09/24
Japan Football League
Kochi United0-1Verspah Oita
04/05/24
Japan Football League
Verspah Oita1-0
HT 0-0
Kochi United
26/11/23
Japan Football League
Verspah Oita0-0
HT 0-0
Kochi United
16/04/22
Japan Football League
Verspah Oita0-1
HT 0-0
Kochi United
23/04/17
Japan FA Cup
Verspah Oita2-1
HT 0-1
Kochi United

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Verspah Oita

LLWWWWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/05 Veertien Mie
Japan JFL Cup
0-0 0-2 30 L
03/05 Minebea Mitsumi
Japan JFL Cup
1-0 2-0 94 W
11/04 Okinawa SV
Japan JFL Cup
0-0 1-3 22 L
04/04 Honda FC
Japan JFL Cup
2-0 2-4 34 L
28/03 J-Lease FC
Japan JFL Cup
1-0 1-0 02 W
20/03 Maruyasu Okazaki
Japan JFL Cup
2-0 2-0 21 W
23/11 Atletico Suzuka Club
Japan Football League
2-1 2-1 85 W
16/11 Reinmeer Aomori
Japan Football League
1-0 3-0 W
09/11 Briobecca Urayasu SC
Japan Football League
0-1 1-3 03 L
01/11 FC Tiamo Hirakata
Japan Football League
0-0 0-2 52 L

Kochi United

DDLWLLDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 FC Gifu
Japan J3-League
0-3 0-7 44 L
08/08 Matsumoto Y FC
Japan J3-League
0-0 0-0 53 D
06/06 Omiya Ardija
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 1-2 32 L
30/05 Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-2 2-2 52 D
24/05 Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-1 0-2 02 L
17/05 Ehime FC
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-1 0-1 76 L
10/05 Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
2-0 3-0 52 W
06/05 FC Imabari
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-1 50 L
02/05 FC Osaka
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-0 35 D
29/04 Nara Club
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
0-0 0-0 31 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Verspah Oita vs Kochi United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kochi United win (53%). Probabilities: Verspah Oita 21%, draw 26%, Kochi United 53%.

How many goals are expected in Verspah Oita vs Kochi United?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Verspah Oita 0.87 · Kochi United 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Verspah Oita vs Kochi United?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.