Football · England Super League Women · 08/11, 13:00
Prediction: Liverpool (W) vs Arsenal (W)
Team pages: Liverpool (W) · Arsenal (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Liverpool (W)1.33
Arsenal (W)1.73
1X2
Liverpool (W)
Draw
Arsenal (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Liverpool (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Arsenal (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Liverpool (W)
1–5
Arsenal (W)
(6 last)
- Liverpool (W)1-3Arsenal (W)
- Arsenal (W)2-1Liverpool (W)
- Arsenal (W)4-0Liverpool (W)
- Arsenal (W)0-1Liverpool (W)
- Liverpool (W)0-1Arsenal (W)
- Liverpool (W)0-2Arsenal (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arsenal (W) (rating 1458 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Arsenal (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Liverpool (W) | Arsenal (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 3.6 / 8.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liverpool (W) 1–0–5 Arsenal (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Arsenal (W) |
| 06/12/25 England Super League Women | Arsenal (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Liverpool (W) |
| 22/03/25 England Super League Women | Arsenal (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Liverpool (W) |
| 09/03/25 England FA Cup Women | Arsenal (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Liverpool (W) |
| 15/12/24 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Arsenal (W) |
| 28/01/24 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Arsenal (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Man City (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Tottenham (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 13 |
| 5 | Man Utd (W) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Brighton (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | Arsenal (W) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Aston Villa (W) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 10 | West Ham (W) | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 11 | Liverpool (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Birmingham (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Liverpool (W) | Arsenal (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Everton (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Tottenham (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Man City (W) | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liverpool (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 03/10 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
Arsenal (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 24/10 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liverpool (W) vs Arsenal (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arsenal (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Liverpool (W) 28%, draw 26%, Arsenal (W) 46%.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool (W) vs Arsenal (W)?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Liverpool (W) 1.33 · Arsenal (W) 1.73), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool (W) vs Arsenal (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.