Football · England Super League Women · 08/11, 13:00
Prediction: Aston Villa (W) vs Man Utd (W)
Team pages: Aston Villa (W) · Man Utd (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Aston Villa (W)1.51
Man Utd (W)1.49
1X2
Aston Villa (W)
Draw
Man Utd (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Aston Villa (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Man Utd (W)
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aston Villa (W)
1–1–4
Man Utd (W)
(6 last)
- Aston Villa (W)1-4Man Utd (W)
- Man Utd (W)0-1Aston Villa (W)
- Aston Villa (W)0-4Man Utd (W)
- Man Utd (W)0-0Aston Villa (W)
- Man Utd (W)2-1Aston Villa (W)
- Aston Villa (W)1-2Man Utd (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man Utd (W) (rating 1516 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Man Utd (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aston Villa (W) | Man Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.8 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aston Villa (W) 1–1–4 Man Utd (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Man Utd (W) |
| 08/11/25 England Super League Women | Man Utd (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 23/03/25 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Man Utd (W) |
| 10/11/24 England Super League Women | Man Utd (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 28/01/24 England Super League Women | Man Utd (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Aston Villa (W) |
| 01/10/23 England Super League Women | Aston Villa (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Man Utd (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Man City (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Tottenham (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 13 |
| 5 | Man Utd (W) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Brighton (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | Arsenal (W) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Aston Villa (W) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 10 | West Ham (W) | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 11 | Liverpool (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Birmingham (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aston Villa (W) | Man Utd (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Everton (W) | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Liverpool (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Tottenham (W) | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Man City (W) | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Chelsea (W) | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| London City Lionesses (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| West Ham (W) | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Man Utd (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aston Villa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 25/10 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/10 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 27/09 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/05 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
Man Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/10 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aston Villa (W) vs Man Utd (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aston Villa (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Aston Villa (W) 37%, draw 26%, Man Utd (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Aston Villa (W) vs Man Utd (W)?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Aston Villa (W) 1.51 · Man Utd (W) 1.49), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa (W) vs Man Utd (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.