Football · England Super League Women · 14/11, 18:15
Prediction: Brighton (W) vs Liverpool (W)
Team pages: Brighton (W) · Liverpool (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Brighton (W)2.07
Liverpool (W)1.17
1X2
Brighton (W)
Draw
Liverpool (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Brighton (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Liverpool (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brighton (W)
1–2–3
Liverpool (W)
(6 last)
- Liverpool (W)2-3Brighton (W)
- Brighton (W)0-0Liverpool (W)
- Liverpool (W)1-1Brighton (W)
- Brighton (W)1-2Liverpool (W)
- Liverpool (W)2-1Brighton (W)
- Brighton (W)0-1Liverpool (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brighton (W) (rating 1525 vs 1445).
- H2H favours Liverpool (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brighton (W) | Liverpool (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.7 | 2.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brighton (W) 1–2–3 Liverpool (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 England FA Cup Women | Liverpool (W) | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Brighton (W) |
| 22/03/26 England Super League Women | Brighton (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Liverpool (W) |
| 09/11/25 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Brighton (W) |
| 19/04/25 England Super League Women | Brighton (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Liverpool (W) |
| 17/01/25 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Brighton (W) |
| 18/02/24 England Super League Women | Brighton (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Liverpool (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City (W) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 | Chelsea (W) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Tottenham (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 13 |
| 5 | Man Utd (W) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Brighton (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | Everton (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Arsenal (W) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Aston Villa (W) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 10 | West Ham (W) | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
| 11 | Liverpool (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Birmingham (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brighton (W) | Liverpool (W) |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham (W) | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Man City (W) | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Charlton (W) | 5-1 W | 4-0 W |
| London City Lionesses (W) | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Arsenal (W) | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Tottenham (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Man Utd (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Brighton (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brighton (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/10 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Liverpool (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 03/10 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brighton (W) vs Liverpool (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brighton (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Brighton (W) 57%, draw 23%, Liverpool (W) 20%.
How many goals are expected in Brighton (W) vs Liverpool (W)?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Brighton (W) 2.07 · Liverpool (W) 1.17), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Brighton (W) vs Liverpool (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.