Football · England Super League Women · 15/11, 17:30

Prediction: Arsenal (W) vs London City Lionesses (W)

Team pages: Arsenal (W) · London City Lionesses (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Arsenal (W)1.48

London City Lionesses (W)1.19

1X2

43% 28% 29%

Arsenal (W) Draw London City Lionesses (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Arsenal (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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London City Lionesses (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWDLW

Head-to-head

Arsenal (W) 6–0 London City Lionesses (W) (6 last)

London City Lionesses (W)0-2Arsenal (W)
Arsenal (W)4-1London City Lionesses (W)
Arsenal (W)2-0London City Lionesses (W)
London City Lionesses (W)0-4Arsenal (W)
Arsenal (W)1-0London City Lionesses (W)
London City Lionesses (W)0-4Arsenal (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Arsenal (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Arsenal (W)	London City Lionesses (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	2.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 7.5	2.2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.63 → 1.63	Pinn 1.63
X	4.18 → 4.18	Pinn 4.18
2	4.60 → 4.60	Pinn 4.60

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +1’	1.63	4.18	4.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal (W) 6–0–0 London City Lionesses (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 England Super League Women	London City Lionesses (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Arsenal (W)
06/09/25 England Super League Women	Arsenal (W)	4-1 HT 2-1	London City Lionesses (W)
09/02/25 England FA Cup Women	Arsenal (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	London City Lionesses (W)
14/02/24 England League Cup Women	London City Lionesses (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Arsenal (W)
30/01/22 England FA Cup Women	Arsenal (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	London City Lionesses (W)
04/11/20 England League Cup Women	London City Lionesses (W)	0-4 HT 0-3	Arsenal (W)

Standings · England Super League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Man City (W)	9	8	1	0	27	10	25
2	Chelsea (W)	9	7	2	0	28	5	23
3	London City Lionesses (W)	9	6	1	2	24	11	19
4	Tottenham (W)	9	5	1	3	25	18	16
5	Man Utd (W)	9	4	3	2	10	11	15
6	Arsenal (W)	9	3	4	2	10	10	13
7	Brighton (W)	9	3	2	4	16	13	11
8	Everton (W)	9	3	2	4	8	10	11
9	Aston Villa (W)	9	2	4	3	10	16	10
10	Crystal Palace (W)	9	2	3	4	10	19	9
11	West Ham (W)	9	3	0	6	9	19	9
12	Liverpool (W)	9	2	2	5	14	16	8
13	Birmingham (W)	9	1	3	5	11	21	6
14	Charlton (W)	9	0	0	9	5	28	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Arsenal (W)	London City Lionesses (W)
Liverpool (W)	2-1 W	2-2 D
Aston Villa (W)	1-1 D	2-1 W
Tottenham (W)	2-1 W	6-1 W
Birmingham (W)	1-1 D	4-1 W
Man City (W)	2-4 L	1-2 L
Brighton (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Everton (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: London City Lionesses (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arsenal (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Liverpool (W) England Super League Women	2-1	2-1	4	1	W
01/11	Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women	0-1	1-1	10	0	D
24/10	Tottenham (W) England Super League Women	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
17/10	Birmingham (W) England Super League Women	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
04/10	Man City (W) England Super League Women	1-1	2-4	8	1	L
27/09	Chelsea (W) England Super League Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
13/09	Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women	0-0	0-0	13	3	D
06/09	Brighton (W) England Super League Women	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
16/05	Liverpool (W) England Super League Women	3-0	3-1	5	1	W
13/05	Everton (W) England Super League Women	0-0	1-0	8	2	W

London City Lionesses (W)

LWWLWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Birmingham (W) England Super League Women	2-0	4-1	2	4	W
01/11	Man City (W) England Super League Women	0-0	1-2	9	3	L
25/10	Liverpool (W) England Super League Women	2-1	2-2	3	3	D
18/10	Everton (W) England Super League Women	2-0	2-1	4	1	W
04/10	Tottenham (W) England Super League Women	3-0	6-1	2	1	W
26/09	Brighton (W) England Super League Women	1-0	2-0	8	5	W
12/09	West Ham (W) England Super League Women	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
04/09	Man Utd (W) England Super League Women	1-0	2-1	9	2	W
16/05	Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women	0-1	2-1	9	2	W
03/05	Tottenham (W) England Super League Women	0-2	1-2	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arsenal (W) vs London City Lionesses (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Arsenal (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Arsenal (W) 43%, draw 28%, London City Lionesses (W) 29%.

How many goals are expected in Arsenal (W) vs London City Lionesses (W)?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Arsenal (W) 1.48 · London City Lionesses (W) 1.19), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Arsenal (W) vs London City Lionesses (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.