Football · England Super League Women · 08/11, 15:00
Prediction: Tottenham (W) vs Brighton (W)
Team pages: Tottenham (W) · Brighton (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Tottenham (W)1.85
Brighton (W)1.61
1X2
Tottenham (W)
Draw
Brighton (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Tottenham (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Brighton (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tottenham (W)
3–2–1
Brighton (W)
(6 last)
- Brighton (W)0-1Tottenham (W)
- Brighton (W)1-2Tottenham (W)
- Tottenham (W)1-0Brighton (W)
- Tottenham (W)0-1Brighton (W)
- Brighton (W)1-1Tottenham (W)
- Tottenham (W)1-1Brighton (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tottenham (W) 1566 · Brighton (W) 1523
| Tottenham (W) | Draw | Brighton (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tottenham (W) (rating 1566 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Tottenham (W): 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tottenham (W) | Brighton (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.2 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tottenham (W) 3–2–1 Brighton (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/26 England League Cup Women | Brighton (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tottenham (W) |
| 16/05/26 England Super League Women | Brighton (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Tottenham (W) |
| 05/10/25 England Super League Women | Tottenham (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Brighton (W) |
| 16/03/25 England Super League Women | Tottenham (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Brighton (W) |
| 14/12/24 England Super League Women | Brighton (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tottenham (W) |
| 28/04/24 England Super League Women | Tottenham (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Brighton (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Man City (W) | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Tottenham (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 13 |
| 5 | Man Utd (W) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Brighton (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | Arsenal (W) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Aston Villa (W) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 10 | West Ham (W) | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 11 | Liverpool (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Birmingham (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tottenham (W) | Brighton (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham (W) | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Arsenal (W) | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| London City Lionesses (W) | 1-6 L | 0-2 L |
| West Ham (W) | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Man Utd (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Brighton (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tottenham (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Chelsea (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-6 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-6 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
Brighton (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/10 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tottenham (W) vs Brighton (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tottenham (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Tottenham (W) 43%, draw 25%, Brighton (W) 33%.
How many goals are expected in Tottenham (W) vs Brighton (W)?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Tottenham (W) 1.85 · Brighton (W) 1.61), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham (W) vs Brighton (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.