Football · England Super League Women · 14/11, 14:30
Prediction: Chelsea (W) vs Man City (W)
Team pages: Chelsea (W) · Man City (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Chelsea (W)1.78
Man City (W)1.36
1X2
Chelsea (W)
Draw
Man City (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Chelsea (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Man City (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chelsea (W)
4–1–1
Man City (W)
(6 last)
- Chelsea (W)2-2Man City (W)
- Man City (W)5-1Chelsea (W)
- Man City (W)0-1Chelsea (W)
- Chelsea (W)2-1Man City (W)
- Chelsea (W)3-0Man City (W)
- Man City (W)1-2Chelsea (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chelsea (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 15.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chelsea (W) | Man City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 0.6 | 2.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.5 / 8.7 | 3.2 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chelsea (W) 4–1–1 Man City (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 England FA Cup Women | Chelsea (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Man City (W) |
| 01/02/26 England Super League Women | Man City (W) | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Chelsea (W) |
| 21/01/26 England League Cup Women | Man City (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chelsea (W) |
| 05/09/25 England Super League Women | Chelsea (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Man City (W) |
| 27/03/25 UEFA Women's Champions League | Chelsea (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Man City (W) |
| 23/03/25 England Super League Women | Man City (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Chelsea (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City (W) | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 | Chelsea (W) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Tottenham (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 13 |
| 5 | Man Utd (W) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Brighton (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | Everton (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Arsenal (W) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Aston Villa (W) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 10 | West Ham (W) | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
| 11 | Liverpool (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Birmingham (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace (W) | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chelsea (W) | Man City (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton (W) | 6-0 W | 1-0 W |
| West Ham (W) | 3-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Arsenal (W) | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Man Utd (W) | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Aston Villa (W) | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Man City (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chelsea (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 01/11 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Leicester (W) England Super League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
Man City (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
3-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | Birmingham (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Liverpool (W) England Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chelsea (W) vs Man City (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chelsea (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Chelsea (W) 47%, draw 25%, Man City (W) 28%.
How many goals are expected in Chelsea (W) vs Man City (W)?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Chelsea (W) 1.78 · Man City (W) 1.36), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chelsea (W) vs Man City (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.