Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 03/10, 23:15
Prediction: Nacional Potosi vs Real Oruro
Team pages: Nacional Potosi · Real Oruro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
Nacional Potosi2.7
Real Oruro0.91
1X2
Nacional Potosi
Draw
Real Oruro
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Nacional Potosi
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Real Oruro
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nacional Potosi
2–1–3
Real Oruro
(6 last)
- Real Oruro0-2Nacional Potosi
- Nacional Potosi1-4Real Oruro
- Real Oruro1-2Nacional Potosi
- Nacional Potosi0-0Real Oruro
- Real Oruro1-0Nacional Potosi
- Nacional Potosi2-3Real Oruro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nacional Potosi 1546 · Real Oruro 1446
| Nacional Potosi | Draw | Real Oruro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 16% | 9% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.6 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nacional Potosi (rating 1546 vs 1446).
- H2H favours Real Oruro: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nacional Potosi | Real Oruro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacional Potosi 2–1–3 Real Oruro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Oruro | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 21/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Nacional Potosi | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Real Oruro |
| 11/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Oruro | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Nacional Potosi |
| 27/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Nacional Potosi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Oruro |
| 11/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Real Oruro | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 15/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Nacional Potosi | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Real Oruro |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional Potosi | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Real Tomayapo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
| 3 | Always Ready | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 7 |
| 4 | Real Oruro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nacional Potosi | Real Oruro |
|---|---|---|
| Real Tomayapo | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Always Ready | 9-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Nacional Potosi (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nacional Potosi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
3-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 13 | D |
| 09/09 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/12 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 20/12 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 18/12 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 17/12 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Real Oruro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/09 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 26/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 19/11 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/11 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/10 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nacional Potosi vs Real Oruro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacional Potosi win (75%). Probabilities: Nacional Potosi 75%, draw 15%, Real Oruro 10%.
How many goals are expected in Nacional Potosi vs Real Oruro?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Nacional Potosi 2.7 · Real Oruro 0.91), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Nacional Potosi vs Real Oruro?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.