Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 04/10, 01:30

Prediction: The Strongest vs Universitario De Vinto

Team pages: The Strongest · Universitario De Vinto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

The Strongest2.51

Universitario De Vinto0.96

1X2

70% 19% 11%

The Strongest Draw Universitario De Vinto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

The Strongest 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWDWD

Universitario De Vinto 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLDLLWW

Head-to-head

The Strongest 5–1 Universitario De Vinto (6 last)

Universitario De Vinto1-2The Strongest
The Strongest4-3Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto1-2The Strongest
Universitario De Vinto0-1The Strongest
The Strongest3-2Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto3-0The Strongest

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · The Strongest 1579 · Universitario De Vinto 1473

	The Strongest	Draw	Universitario De Vinto
Our model	70%	18%	12%
Market	70%	19%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1579 vs 1473).
H2H favours The Strongest: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	The Strongest	Universitario De Vinto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 6	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.28

X4.75

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +25’	1.28	4.75	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · The Strongest 5–0–1 Universitario De Vinto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Universitario De Vinto	1-2 HT 0-2	The Strongest
22/08/26 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	4-3 HT 2-2	Universitario De Vinto
05/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Universitario De Vinto	1-2 HT 1-1	The Strongest
04/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Universitario De Vinto	0-1 HT 0-1	The Strongest
30/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	3-2 HT 1-1	Universitario De Vinto
20/02/25 America Friendlies	Universitario De Vinto	3-0 HT 2-0	The Strongest

Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	The Strongest	6	3	2	1	10	9	11
2	Oriente Petrolero	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
3	Universitario De Vinto	6	2	1	3	11	10	7
4	Guabira	6	2	0	4	7	13	6

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	The Strongest	Universitario De Vinto
Oriente Petrolero	1-1 D	3-0 W
Guabira	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Universitario De Vinto (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

The Strongest

WLLLWLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
26/09	Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	11	3	W
20/09	Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
10/09	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
30/08	Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-3	2-4	3	2	L
19/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
18/12	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
17/12	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-2	1-2	7	7	L
26/11	Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-1	2-3	5	8	L
19/11	Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	2-1	8	7	W

Universitario De Vinto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
27/09	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	3-0	11	6	W
19/09	Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	2-0	2-4	0	4	L
10/09	The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
02/09	Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
19/08	Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
16/11	Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-2	1-3	6	7	L
14/11	Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
07/11	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	2-0	5-2	4	7	W
29/10	Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-2	0-3	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in The Strongest vs Universitario De Vinto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a The Strongest win (70%). Probabilities: The Strongest 70%, draw 19%, Universitario De Vinto 11%.

How many goals are expected in The Strongest vs Universitario De Vinto?

The model expects 3.47 goals (The Strongest 2.51 · Universitario De Vinto 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in The Strongest vs Universitario De Vinto?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.