Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 29/09, 21:00

Prediction: Universitario De Vinto vs Guabira

Team pages: Universitario De Vinto · Guabira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Universitario De Vinto1.95

Guabira1.65

1X2

44% 25% 31%

Universitario De Vinto Draw Guabira

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Universitario De Vinto 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Guabira 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Universitario De Vinto 1–2–3 Guabira (6 last)

Guabira2-1Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto1-1Guabira
Universitario De Vinto5-2Guabira
Guabira2-1Universitario De Vinto
Guabira3-0Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto2-2Guabira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universitario De Vinto 1479 · Guabira 1456

	Universitario De Vinto	Draw	Guabira
Our model	44%	23%	32%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Guabira: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Universitario De Vinto	Guabira
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.5	4.8 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.15▲	Bet365 2.15
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:51 +18’	2.10	3.50	3.00
06:58 +6’	2.15▲	3.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario De Vinto 1–2–3 Guabira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/08/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Guabira	2-1 HT 1-1	Universitario De Vinto
31/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Universitario De Vinto	1-1 HT 1-1	Guabira
25/02/26 America Friendlies	Universitario De Vinto	5-2 HT 4-2	Guabira
20/02/26 America Friendlies	Guabira	2-1 HT 1-1	Universitario De Vinto
03/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Guabira	3-0 HT 2-0	Universitario De Vinto
26/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Universitario De Vinto	2-2 HT 0-0	Guabira

Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	The Strongest	5	3	1	1	9	8	10
2	Oriente Petrolero	5	3	0	2	8	6	9
3	Guabira	5	2	0	3	6	10	6
4	Universitario De Vinto	5	1	1	3	8	9	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Universitario De Vinto	Guabira
Oriente Petrolero	3-0 W	0-1 L
Club Aurora	2-4 L	0-4 L
The Strongest	1-2 L	1-2 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	5-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Universitario De Vinto (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universitario De Vinto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	3-0	11	6	W
19/09	Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	2-0	2-4	0	4	L
10/09	The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
02/09	Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
19/08	Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
16/11	Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-2	1-3	6	7	L
14/11	Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
07/11	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	2-0	5-2	4	7	W
29/10	Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
25/10	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	6	6	D

Guabira

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
22/09	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
09/09	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
31/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-3	1-5	4	4	L
19/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
26/11	The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	3-2	3	8	W
19/11	The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
08/11	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	2-2	1	11	D
31/10	Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-1	0-4	6	2	L
28/10	Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-3	0-4	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universitario De Vinto vs Guabira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Universitario De Vinto win (44%). Probabilities: Universitario De Vinto 44%, draw 25%, Guabira 31%.

How many goals are expected in Universitario De Vinto vs Guabira?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Universitario De Vinto 1.95 · Guabira 1.65), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Universitario De Vinto vs Guabira?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.