Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 01/10, 00:30

Prediction: Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi

Team pages: Real Tomayapo · Nacional Potosi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Real Tomayapo1.7

Nacional Potosi1.57

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Real Tomayapo Draw Nacional Potosi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Tomayapo 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWLWLW

Nacional Potosi 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Real Tomayapo 0–2–4 Nacional Potosi (6 last)

Nacional Potosi5-1Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosi4-1Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosi1-0Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo0-1Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi1-1Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo1-1Nacional Potosi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Tomayapo 1446 · Nacional Potosi 1570

	Real Tomayapo	Draw	Nacional Potosi
Our model	40%	25%	35%
Market	40%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nacional Potosi (rating 1446 vs 1570).
H2H favours Nacional Potosi: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Tomayapo	Nacional Potosi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 3.1	2.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.6	1.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.5	6.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 1.6 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:57 +16’	2.25	3.50	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Tomayapo 0–2–4 Nacional Potosi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Nacional Potosi	5-1 HT 1-0	Real Tomayapo
27/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Nacional Potosi	4-1 HT 3-1	Real Tomayapo
14/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Nacional Potosi	1-0 HT 0-0	Real Tomayapo
23/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Tomayapo	0-1 HT 0-0	Nacional Potosi
23/03/25 America Friendlies	Nacional Potosi	1-1 HT 0-0	Real Tomayapo
20/03/25 America Friendlies	Real Tomayapo	1-1 HT 0-0	Nacional Potosi

Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nacional Potosi	5	3	1	1	18	4	10
2	Real Tomayapo	5	3	0	2	9	11	9
3	Always Ready	5	2	0	3	6	17	6
4	Real Oruro	5	1	0	4	5	12	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Tomayapo	Nacional Potosi
Real Oruro	2-1 W	2-0 W
Always Ready	2-0 W	9-0 W
Bolivar	1-5 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Nacional Potosi (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Tomayapo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
22/09	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-4	1-5	7	3	L
11/09	Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-0	2-0	7	0	W
04/09	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-1	1-5	5	3	L
01/09	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
08/11	Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	2-2	8	11	D
30/10	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-2	3-6	13	1	L
28/10	Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-2	1-5	2	2	L
24/10	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
22/10	Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-2	2-7	7	2	L

Nacional Potosi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	3-0	9-0	–	–	W
23/09	Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
20/09	Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	2-2	4	13	D
09/09	Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
04/09	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	5-1	5	3	W
23/12	Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	2-1	4-1	3	8	W
20/12	Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-2	0-2	8	7	L
18/12	The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	5	8	W
17/12	The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	2-1	2-1	4	7	W
26/11	GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-3	1-3	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Tomayapo win (40%). Probabilities: Real Tomayapo 40%, draw 25%, Nacional Potosi 35%.

How many goals are expected in Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Real Tomayapo 1.7 · Nacional Potosi 1.57), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.