Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 01/10, 02:30

Prediction: Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest

Team pages: Oriente Petrolero · The Strongest

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Oriente Petrolero1.77

The Strongest1.57

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Oriente Petrolero Draw The Strongest

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Oriente Petrolero 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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The Strongest 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Oriente Petrolero 1–1–4 The Strongest (6 last)

The Strongest2-1Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest2-1Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest3-0Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero2-3The Strongest
The Strongest1-2Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero2-2The Strongest

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oriente Petrolero 1472 · The Strongest 1585

	Oriente Petrolero	Draw	The Strongest
Our model	42%	25%	34%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1472 vs 1585).
H2H favours The Strongest: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oriente Petrolero	The Strongest
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.1	1.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 1	5.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.55 → 2.75▲	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:16 +4’	2.35	3.40	2.55
15:20 +3’	2.20▼	3.40	2.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oriente Petrolero 1–1–4 The Strongest

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/08/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	The Strongest	2-1 HT 1-0	Oriente Petrolero
16/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	The Strongest	2-1 HT 1-1	Oriente Petrolero
12/03/26 America Friendlies	The Strongest	3-0 HT 1-0	Oriente Petrolero
08/03/26 America Friendlies	Oriente Petrolero	2-3 HT 1-1	The Strongest
31/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	The Strongest	1-2 HT 0-1	Oriente Petrolero
02/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Oriente Petrolero	2-2 HT 0-1	The Strongest

Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	The Strongest	5	3	1	1	9	8	10
2	Oriente Petrolero	5	3	0	2	8	6	9
3	Guabira	5	2	0	3	6	10	6
4	Universitario De Vinto	5	1	1	3	8	9	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oriente Petrolero	The Strongest
Universitario De Vinto	0-3 L	2-1 W
Guabira	1-0 W	2-1 W
Nacional Potosi	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oriente Petrolero

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-1	0-3	6	6	L
21/09	Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	3-1	3	10	W
09/09	Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
31/08	Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
19/08	The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-1	1-2	0	7	L
15/11	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
12/11	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	1-3	0	6	L
09/11	Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	2-3	2	11	L
31/10	The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
26/10	GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-4	0-6	3	5	L

The Strongest

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	11	3	W
20/09	Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
10/09	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
30/08	Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-3	2-4	3	2	L
19/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
18/12	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
17/12	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-2	1-2	7	7	L
26/11	Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	0-1	2-3	5	8	L
19/11	Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
16/11	Club Aurora Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	2-1	2-1	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oriente Petrolero win (41%). Probabilities: Oriente Petrolero 41%, draw 26%, The Strongest 33%.

How many goals are expected in Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Oriente Petrolero 1.77 · The Strongest 1.57), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.