Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 02/10, 02:30
Prediction: Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero
Team pages: Blooming · Independiente Petrolero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.14Total
Blooming2.54
Independiente Petrolero1.6
1X2
Blooming
Draw
Independiente Petrolero
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Blooming
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Independiente Petrolero
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Blooming
4–2
Independiente Petrolero
(6 last)
- Independiente Petrolero5-2Blooming
- Independiente Petrolero3-1Blooming
- Blooming1-0Independiente Petrolero
- Independiente Petrolero0-4Blooming
- Independiente Petrolero1-5Blooming
- Blooming5-0Independiente Petrolero
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blooming 1498 · Independiente Petrolero 1448
| Blooming | Draw | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 20% | 23% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.14 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blooming (rating 1498 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Blooming: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blooming | Independiente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.5 | 2.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.7 | 2.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blooming 4–0–2 Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Independiente Petrolero | 5-2 HT 1-2 | Blooming |
| 14/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Independiente Petrolero | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Blooming |
| 17/03/26 America Friendlies | Blooming | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 13/03/26 America Friendlies | Independiente Petrolero | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Blooming |
| 21/02/26 America Friendlies | Independiente Petrolero | 1-5 | Blooming |
| 13/02/26 America Friendlies | Blooming | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Independiente Petrolero |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Independiente Petrolero | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Blooming | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Bolivar | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| GV San Jose | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blooming
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 21/09 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 10/09 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
4-1 | 5-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/08 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 19/12 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-4 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/12 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 26/11 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 19/11 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 16/11 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Independiente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | GV San Jose Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/08 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/10 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-0 | 6-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Blooming win (57%). Probabilities: Blooming 57%, draw 21%, Independiente Petrolero 22%.
How many goals are expected in Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model expects 4.14 goals (Blooming 2.54 · Independiente Petrolero 1.6), with a 61% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.