Football · Spain Copa Federacion · 13/08, 19:00

Prediction: CD Derio vs San Ignacio

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
CD Derio1.3
San Ignacio1.03
1X2
42% 29% 29%
CD Derio Draw San Ignacio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Derio 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
DWWWLWLLLL
San Ignacio 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWWDLWLW
Head-to-head
CD Derio 3–2–1 San Ignacio (6 last)
  • San Ignacio1-2CD Derio
  • CD Derio1-0San Ignacio
  • San Ignacio3-3CD Derio
  • CD Derio1-0San Ignacio
  • San Ignacio1-1CD Derio
  • CD Derio0-1San Ignacio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Derio 1485 · San Ignacio 1505
CD DerioDrawSan Ignacio
Our model41%30%28%
Market43%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours CD Derio: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD DerioSan Ignacio
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.31.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.30.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/67/33%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.33 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.24 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Derio 321 San Ignacio

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/01/26
Spain Tercera Group 4
San Ignacio1-2
HT 1-1
CD Derio
07/09/25
Spain Tercera Group 4
CD Derio1-0
HT 1-0
San Ignacio
05/04/25
Spain Tercera Group 4
San Ignacio3-3
HT 0-1
CD Derio
23/11/24
Spain Tercera Group 4
CD Derio1-0San Ignacio
10/03/24
Spain Tercera Group 4
San Ignacio1-1CD Derio
22/10/23
Spain Tercera Group 4
CD Derio0-1San Ignacio

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD DerioSan Ignacio
Leioa 0-1 L 1-2 L
CD Touring 2-1 W 2-1 W
CD Alaves C 3-2 W 0-1 L
Aurrera de Vitoria 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Derio

DWWWLWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Portugalete
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-2 83 L
15/07 Athletic Bilbao
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-3 10 L
06/06 Leioa
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
0-0 0-1 36 L
31/05 Leioa
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
0-0 0-1 10 L
24/05 Lagun Onak
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
0-0 2-0 47 W
17/05 Lagun Onak
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
0-2 L
09/05 Zarautz
Spain Tercera Group 4
1-0 W
03/05 CD Touring
Spain Tercera Group 4
2-1 W
26/04 CD Alaves C
Spain Tercera Group 4
0-1 3-2 310 W
18/04 Aurrera de Vitoria
Spain Tercera Group 4
1-1 D

San Ignacio

WDLWWDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/05 CD Touring
Spain Tercera Group 4
2-1 W
03/05 CD Alaves C
Spain Tercera Group 4
0-0 0-1 95 L
25/04 Aurrera de Vitoria
Spain Tercera Group 4
0-0 1-0 47 W
19/04 Leioa
Spain Tercera Group 4
0-1 1-2 35 L
11/04 Eibar C
Spain Tercera Group 4
0-0 1-1 43 D
02/04 Anorga KKE
Spain Tercera Group 4
2-0 2-0 32 W
28/03 Cultural de Durango
Spain Tercera Group 4
1-0 W
22/03 UD Aretxabaleta
Spain Tercera Group 4
0-1 L
14/03 Zamudio
Spain Tercera Group 4
2-2 D
07/03 Santurtzi
Spain Tercera Group 4
3-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Derio vs San Ignacio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Derio win (42%). Probabilities: CD Derio 42%, draw 29%, San Ignacio 29%.

How many goals are expected in CD Derio vs San Ignacio?

The model expects 2.33 goals (CD Derio 1.3 · San Ignacio 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Derio vs San Ignacio?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.