Football · Chile Segunda · 08/08, 22:00

Prediction: Provincial Osorno vs Concon National

Team pages: Provincial Osorno · Concon National

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Provincial Osorno1.29
Concon National0.94
1X2
44% 29% 27%
Provincial Osorno Draw Concon National
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Provincial Osorno 4-6-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWDDDDWD
Concon National 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWLDWWWDLW
Head-to-head
Provincial Osorno 1–2–1 Concon National (4 last)
  • Concon National2-2Provincial Osorno
  • Provincial Osorno1-3Concon National
  • Concon National3-3Provincial Osorno
  • Provincial Osorno2-1Concon National
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Provincial Osorno 1550 · Concon National 1529
Provincial OsornoDrawConcon National
Our model43%31%26%
Market45%28%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Provincial OsornoConcon National
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.51.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 00.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/60/0%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 51.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.35.7 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Provincial Osorno 121 Concon National

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/08/25
Chile Segunda
Concon National2-2
HT 0-1
Provincial Osorno
05/04/25
Chile Segunda
Provincial Osorno1-3
HT 0-1
Concon National
17/08/24
Chile Segunda
Concon National3-3
HT 1-3
Provincial Osorno
06/04/24
Chile Segunda
Provincial Osorno2-1
HT 1-1
Concon National

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Promotion Round

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Brujas de Salamanca 000 000
1 Concon National 000 000
1 CD Trasandino de Los Andes 000 000
1 Colchagua CD 000 000
1 Deportes Linares 000 000
1 Provincial Osorno 000 000
1 Santiago City 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Provincial Osorno

WDWWDDDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
0-0 2-2 27 D
04/07 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
1-0 3-0 45 W
21/06 Colchagua CD
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 27 D
06/06 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-1 55 D
30/05 Santiago Morning
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 22 D
23/05 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 97 D
09/05 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-0 95 W
03/05 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-0 69 W
18/04 Colchagua CD
Chile Segunda
2-0 2-2 49 D
11/04 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-0 71 W

Concon National

LWLDWWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Santiago City
Chile Segunda
1-2 4-2 73 W
05/07 Brujas de Salamanca
Chile Segunda
0-1 0-1 L
27/06 AC Colina
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-1 46 D
07/06 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-0 18 W
30/05 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-0 54 W
23/05 CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Chile Segunda
2-0 4-1 410 W
09/05 Santiago City
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-1 48 D
03/05 Brujas de Salamanca
Chile Segunda
0-1 0-1 16 L
27/04 AC Colina
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-0 45 W
11/04 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-2 37 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Provincial Osorno vs Concon National?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Provincial Osorno win (44%). Probabilities: Provincial Osorno 44%, draw 29%, Concon National 27%.

How many goals are expected in Provincial Osorno vs Concon National?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Provincial Osorno 1.29 · Concon National 0.94), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Provincial Osorno vs Concon National?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.