Football · Chile Segunda · 10/08, 18:00

Prediction: Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning

Team pages: Real Juventud San Joaquin · Santiago Morning

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Real Juventud San Joaquin1.17
Santiago Morning1.2
1X2
34% 30% 36%
Real Juventud San Joaquin Draw Santiago Morning
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Juventud San Joaquin 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WDDLDLWDLL
Santiago Morning 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDWWDDLDLL
Head-to-head
Real Juventud San Joaquin 0–1–0 Santiago Morning (1 last)
  • Real Juventud San Joaquin0-0Santiago Morning
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Juventud San Joaquin 1473 · Santiago Morning 1471
Real Juventud San JoaquinDrawSantiago Morning
Our model34%31%35%
Market35%29%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Real Juventud San JoaquinSantiago Morning
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.40.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 5.42.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.56.5 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Juventud San Joaquin 010 Santiago Morning

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/06/24
Chile Cup
Real Juventud San Joaquin0-0
HT 0-0
Santiago Morning

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Lota Schwager 110 313
2 CD Rengo Unido 110 103
3 Provincial Ovalle 000 000
3 Real Juventud San Joaquin 000 000
3 Santiago Morning 000 000
6 AC Colina 101 010
7 General Velásquez 101 130

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Juventud San Joaquin

WDDLDLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 AC Colina
Chile Segunda
0-2 1-5 112 L
05/07 CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-2 77 L
28/06 Brujas de Salamanca
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 66 D
21/06 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
3-0 6-1 32 W
07/06 Concon National
Chile Segunda
0-1 0-1 18 L
25/05 Santiago City
Chile Segunda
1-0 2-2 54 D
10/05 AC Colina
Chile Segunda
0-1 0-1 89 L
02/05 CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 77 D
26/04 Brujas de Salamanca
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 49 D
19/04 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
1-1 3-2 26 W

Santiago Morning

LDWWDDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-3 46 L
28/06 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 75 L
21/06 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-1 58 D
07/06 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 36 L
30/05 Provincial Osorno
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 52 D
24/05 Colchagua CD
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-1 26 D
03/05 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-0 36 W
26/04 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
1-0 3-1 39 W
19/04 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-1 411 D
12/04 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-3 811 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Santiago Morning win (36%). Probabilities: Real Juventud San Joaquin 34%, draw 30%, Santiago Morning 36%.

How many goals are expected in Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Real Juventud San Joaquin 1.17 · Santiago Morning 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Juventud San Joaquin vs Santiago Morning?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.