Football · Chile Segunda · 17/08, 18:00

Prediction: Santiago Morning vs AC Colina

Team pages: Santiago Morning · AC Colina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Santiago Morning1.34
AC Colina0.89
1X2
47% 29% 24%
Santiago Morning Draw AC Colina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Morning 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DWWDDLDLLD
AC Colina 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLDLWL
Head-to-head
Santiago Morning 1–1 AC Colina (2 last)
  • AC Colina1-0Santiago Morning
  • AC Colina1-3Santiago Morning
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santiago Morning 1479 · AC Colina 1462
Santiago MorningDrawAC Colina
Our model46%31%24%
Market48%27%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santiago MorningAC Colina
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.11.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.20.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/40/0%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 42.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.44.9 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Morning 101 AC Colina

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/06/21
Chile Cup
AC Colina1-0
HT 1-0
Santiago Morning
23/03/19
Chile Cup
AC Colina1-3
HT 0-1
Santiago Morning

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lota Schwager 1100 313
2 CD Rengo Unido 1100 103
3 Real Juventud San Joaquin 1010 221
3 Santiago Morning 1010 221
5 Provincial Ovalle 0000 000
6 AC Colina 1001 010
7 General Velásquez 1001 130

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSantiago MorningAC Colina
Real Juventud San Joaquin 2-2 D 5-1 W
CD Rengo Unido 1-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AC Colina (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santiago Morning

DWWDDLDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
2-1 2-2 46 D
04/07 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-3 46 L
28/06 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 75 L
21/06 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-1 58 D
07/06 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 36 L
30/05 Provincial Osorno
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 52 D
24/05 Colchagua CD
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-1 26 D
03/05 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-0 36 W
26/04 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
1-0 3-1 39 W
19/04 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-1 411 D

AC Colina

LWWLLLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 66 L
12/07 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
2-0 5-1 52 W
04/07 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-2 58 L
27/06 Concon National
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-1 26 D
21/06 Brujas de Salamanca
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-2 58 L
06/06 Santiago City
Chile Segunda
0-1 0-1 23 L
31/05 CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Chile Segunda
0-1 1-2 123 L
10/05 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-0 49 W
02/05 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
0-0 2-0 64 W
27/04 Concon National
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 105 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santiago Morning vs AC Colina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago Morning win (47%). Probabilities: Santiago Morning 47%, draw 29%, AC Colina 24%.

How many goals are expected in Santiago Morning vs AC Colina?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Santiago Morning 1.34 · AC Colina 0.89), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Santiago Morning vs AC Colina?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.