Football · Chile Segunda · 16/08, 21:30

Prediction: Concon National vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes

Team pages: Concon National · CD Trasandino de Los Andes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Concon National1.27

CD Trasandino de Los Andes1.14

1X2

39% 29% 32%

Concon National Draw CD Trasandino de Los Andes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Concon National 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWDLWL

CD Trasandino de Los Andes 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWLDWL

Head-to-head

Concon National 3–1–2 CD Trasandino de Los Andes (6 last)

CD Trasandino de Los Andes1-4Concon National
Concon National1-1CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Concon National0-1CD Trasandino de Los Andes
CD Trasandino de Los Andes4-0Concon National
CD Trasandino de Los Andes0-2Concon National
Concon National1-0CD Trasandino de Los Andes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Concon National 1521 · CD Trasandino de Los Andes 1518

	Concon National	Draw	CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Our model	38%	30%	32%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Concon National: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Concon National	CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.4	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.6	5.3 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.25

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.29
X	3.40 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25
2	3.50 → 2.70▼	Pinn 2.81 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:55 +9’	1.85	3.40	3.50
00:03 +7’	2.25▲	3.25▼	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:09 +1’	2.29	3.20	2.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Concon National 3–1–2 CD Trasandino de Los Andes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Chile Segunda	CD Trasandino de Los Andes	1-4 HT 0-2	Concon National
21/03/26 Chile Segunda	Concon National	1-1 HT 1-1	CD Trasandino de Los Andes
16/08/25 Chile Segunda	Concon National	0-1 HT 0-1	CD Trasandino de Los Andes
31/03/25 Chile Segunda	CD Trasandino de Los Andes	4-0 HT 1-0	Concon National
08/09/24 Chile Segunda	CD Trasandino de Los Andes	0-2 HT 0-1	Concon National
27/04/24 Chile Segunda	Concon National	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Trasandino de Los Andes

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportes Linares	1	1	0	2	1	3
2	Provincial Osorno	1	1	0	1	0	3
2	Santiago City	1	1	0	1	0	3
4	Brujas de Salamanca	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	CD Trasandino de Los Andes	1	0	1	1	2	0
6	Concon National	1	0	1	0	1	0
6	Colchagua CD	1	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Concon National	CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Santiago City	4-2 W	5-1 W
Brujas de Salamanca	0-1 L	1-2 L
AC Colina	1-1 D	2-1 W
Real Juventud San Joaquin	1-0 W	2-1 W
Provincial Ovalle	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Trasandino de Los Andes (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Concon National

WLDWWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
11/07	Santiago City Chile Segunda	1-2	4-2	7	3	W
05/07	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
27/06	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
07/06	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	1	8	W
30/05	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
23/05	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	2-0	4-1	4	10	W
09/05	Santiago City Chile Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	8	D
03/05	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
27/04	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

CD Trasandino de Los Andes

LLWDWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Deportes Linares Chile Segunda	0-1	1-2	7	5	L
01/08	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
26/07	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	1	10	D
11/07	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	0-1	1-2	9	7	L
05/07	Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
20/06	Santiago City Chile Segunda	3-1	5-1	4	4	W
08/06	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
31/05	AC Colina Chile Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
23/05	Concon National Chile Segunda	0-2	1-4	8	10	L
09/05	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	0-1	0-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Concon National vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Concon National win (39%). Probabilities: Concon National 39%, draw 29%, CD Trasandino de Los Andes 32%.

How many goals are expected in Concon National vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Concon National 1.27 · CD Trasandino de Los Andes 1.14), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Concon National vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.