Football · Poland III Liga · 08/08, 13:00
Prediction: Elana Torun vs Gedania Gdansk
Team pages: Elana Torun · Gedania Gdansk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.67Total
Elana Torun1.92
Gedania Gdansk1.75
1X2
Elana Torun
Draw
Gedania Gdansk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Elana Torun
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Gedania Gdansk
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Elana Torun
5–0
Gedania Gdansk
(5 last)
- Elana Torun5-0Gedania Gdansk
- Gedania Gdansk1-2Elana Torun
- Elana Torun1-0Gedania Gdansk
- Gedania Gdansk0-2Elana Torun
- Elana Torun3-1Gedania Gdansk
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elana Torun 1419 · Gedania Gdansk 1530
| Elana Torun | Draw | Gedania Gdansk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 23% | 35% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gedania Gdansk (rating 1419 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Elana Torun: 5-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Elana Torun | Gedania Gdansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.7 | 2.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 3.4 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elana Torun 5–0–0 Gedania Gdansk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/25 Poland III Liga | Elana Torun | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Gedania Gdansk |
| 21/08/24 Poland III Liga | Gedania Gdansk | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Elana Torun |
| 30/03/24 Poland III Liga | Elana Torun | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gedania Gdansk |
| 01/09/23 Poland III Liga | Gedania Gdansk | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Elana Torun |
| 22/07/23 Club Friendly List | Elana Torun | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Gedania Gdansk |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Czarni Polaniec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Chelmianka Chelm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | JKS Jaroslaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Wisloka Debica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Korona Kielce II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Moravia Morawica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elana Torun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Unia Wabrzezno Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Tluchowia Tluchowo Poland III Liga |
1-2 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/05 | Pogon Szczecin II Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Gedania Gdansk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Olimpia Elblag Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/06 | Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski Poland IV Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Powisle Dzierzgon Poland IV Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Bytovia Bytow Poland IV Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Jaguar Gdansk Poland IV Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Grom Nowy Staw Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | KP Starogard Gdanski Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Stolem Gniewino Poland IV Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elana Torun vs Gedania Gdansk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Elana Torun win (41%). Probabilities: Elana Torun 41%, draw 24%, Gedania Gdansk 35%.
How many goals are expected in Elana Torun vs Gedania Gdansk?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Elana Torun 1.92 · Gedania Gdansk 1.75), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Elana Torun vs Gedania Gdansk?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.