Football · Egypt Division 1 · 11/10, 19:00
Prediction: El Zamalek vs Al Ahly Cairo
Team pages: El Zamalek · Al Ahly Cairo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
El Zamalek1.11
Al Ahly Cairo0.99
1X2
El Zamalek
Draw
Al Ahly Cairo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
El Zamalek
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Al Ahly Cairo
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
El Zamalek
0–3–3
Al Ahly Cairo
(6 last)
- El Zamalek0-3Al Ahly Cairo
- El Zamalek0-2Al Ahly Cairo
- Al Ahly Cairo2-1El Zamalek
- Al Ahly Cairo1-1El Zamalek
- Al Ahly Cairo0-0El Zamalek
- Al Ahly Cairo1-1El Zamalek
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Al Ahly Cairo: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Zamalek | Al Ahly Cairo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Zamalek 0–3–3 Al Ahly Cairo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Egypt Division 1 | El Zamalek | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Al Ahly Cairo |
| 09/11/25 Egypt Super Cup | El Zamalek | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Al Ahly Cairo |
| 29/09/25 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ahly Cairo | 2-1 HT 0-1 | El Zamalek |
| 22/02/25 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ahly Cairo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | El Zamalek |
| 24/10/24 Egypt Super Cup | Al Ahly Cairo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | El Zamalek |
| 27/09/24 CAF Super Cup | Al Ahly Cairo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | El Zamalek |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | El Zamalek | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Cairo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Modern Sport FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Petrojet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Talaea El Geish | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | ZED FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Al Qanah | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | El Masry | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | National Bank | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Enppi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 16 | Smouha | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Abo Qir Semad | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | El Gounah | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 19 | Asyut Petroleum | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Zamalek | Al Ahly Cairo |
|---|---|---|
| Abo Qir Semad | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Smouha | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Enppi | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Pyramids FC | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Zamalek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 08/09 | Abo Qir Semad Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/08 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/08 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 20/05 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 6 | D |
| 23/04 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Al Ahly Cairo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Abo Qir Semad Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 03/09 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | ZED FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Zamalek vs Al Ahly Cairo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a El Zamalek win (37%). Probabilities: El Zamalek 37%, draw 33%, Al Ahly Cairo 30%.
How many goals are expected in El Zamalek vs Al Ahly Cairo?
The model expects 2.1 goals (El Zamalek 1.11 · Al Ahly Cairo 0.99), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in El Zamalek vs Al Ahly Cairo?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.