Football · Egypt Division 1 · 21/10, 19:00

Prediction: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet

Team pages: Ceramica Cleopatra · Petrojet

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Ceramica Cleopatra1.63

Petrojet1.17

1X2

46% 28% 26%

Ceramica Cleopatra Draw Petrojet

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ceramica Cleopatra 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWWWWL

Petrojet 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLDLLWWD

Head-to-head

Ceramica Cleopatra 4–2 Petrojet (6 last)

Ceramica Cleopatra2-1Petrojet
Petrojet1-0Ceramica Cleopatra
Petrojet0-2Ceramica Cleopatra
Ceramica Cleopatra4-1Petrojet
Ceramica Cleopatra4-1Petrojet
Ceramica Cleopatra1-2Petrojet

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ceramica Cleopatra 1515 · Petrojet 1511

	Ceramica Cleopatra	Draw	Petrojet
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	46%	29%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ceramica Cleopatra: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ceramica Cleopatra	Petrojet
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	3.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	2.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.20

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.13
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 4.48 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:02 +29’	2.00	3.20	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:14 +250’	2.11	2.71	4.53
13:12 +22’	2.13▲	2.71	4.48▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ceramica Cleopatra 4–0–2 Petrojet

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/11/25 Egypt Division 1	Ceramica Cleopatra	2-1 HT 0-1	Petrojet
21/05/25 Egypt League Cup	Petrojet	1-0 HT 1-0	Ceramica Cleopatra
05/05/25 Egypt Division 1	Petrojet	0-2 HT 0-0	Ceramica Cleopatra
24/04/25 Egypt League Cup	Ceramica Cleopatra	4-1 HT 2-0	Petrojet
28/02/25 Egypt Division 1	Ceramica Cleopatra	4-1 HT 3-1	Petrojet
11/02/20 Egypt Division 2	Ceramica Cleopatra	1-2 HT 0-0	Petrojet

Standings · Egypt Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pyramids FC	6	6	0	0	13	2	18
2	Al Ahly Cairo	6	5	1	0	11	3	16
3	El Zamalek	6	4	1	1	8	3	13
4	Modern Sport FC	6	4	1	1	10	6	13
5	Al Ittihad Al Sakandary	6	4	1	1	8	4	13
6	Ceramica Cleopatra	6	4	0	2	11	7	12
7	National Bank	6	3	0	3	7	7	9
8	Al Moqawloon Al Arab	6	2	2	2	7	6	8
9	Petrojet	6	2	2	2	10	10	8
10	ZED FC	6	2	2	2	5	6	8
11	Al Qanah	6	1	4	1	6	6	7
12	El Masry	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
13	Smouha	6	2	1	3	2	4	7
14	Talaea El Geish	6	2	1	3	5	8	7
15	Wadi Degla	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
16	Asyut Petroleum	6	1	2	3	3	6	5
17	Enppi	6	1	1	4	8	12	4
18	Abo Qir Semad	6	1	0	5	2	10	3
19	El Gounah	6	0	2	4	4	8	2
20	Ghazl El Mahallah	6	0	1	5	1	10	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ceramica Cleopatra	Petrojet
National Bank	2-0 W	3-2 W
Modern Sport FC	2-0 W	1-1 D
El Zamalek	0-1 L	1-2 L
El Masry	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ceramica Cleopatra (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ceramica Cleopatra

WLDLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1	1-3	1-4	2	5	L
14/09	National Bank Egypt Division 1	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
08/09	Smouha Egypt Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
02/09	Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
28/08	Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
23/08	Al Qanah Egypt Division 1	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
20/05	El Zamalek Egypt Division 1	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
05/05	Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
01/05	El Masry Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
22/04	Smouha Egypt Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	5	W

Petrojet

WDWLDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
16/09	El Gounah Egypt Division 1	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
07/09	El Masry Egypt Division 1	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
31/08	El Zamalek Egypt Division 1	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
26/08	Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1	0-2	2-3	14	3	L
22/08	Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-1	17	3	D
28/05	El Gounah Egypt Division 1	1-0	1-2	2	1	L
23/05	Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
17/05	Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
13/05	National Bank Egypt Division 1	1-0	3-2	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ceramica Cleopatra win (46%). Probabilities: Ceramica Cleopatra 46%, draw 28%, Petrojet 26%.

How many goals are expected in Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Ceramica Cleopatra 1.63 · Petrojet 1.17), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.