Football · Egypt Division 1 · 20/10, 17:00

Prediction: Wadi Degla vs National Bank

Team pages: Wadi Degla · National Bank

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Wadi Degla1.12

National Bank1.24

1X2

32% 31% 37%

Wadi Degla Draw National Bank

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Wadi Degla 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWDLLD

National Bank 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Wadi Degla 3–3–0 National Bank (6 last)

Wadi Degla2-0National Bank
National Bank2-2Wadi Degla
National Bank1-1Wadi Degla
Wadi Degla4-2National Bank
Wadi Degla3-1National Bank
National Bank1-1Wadi Degla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wadi Degla 1535 · National Bank 1481

	Wadi Degla	Draw	National Bank
Our model	32%	31%	38%
Market	31%	31%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wadi Degla (rating 1535 vs 1481).
H2H favours Wadi Degla: 3-3-0.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wadi Degla	National Bank
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.5	2.6 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.90

X2.90

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 2.91
X	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.13 ★
2	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.8% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:18 +11’	2.90	2.90	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:24 +178’	2.91	3.13	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wadi Degla 3–3–0 National Bank

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Egypt Division 1	Wadi Degla	2-0 HT 1-0	National Bank
05/01/26 Egypt League Cup	National Bank	2-2 HT 2-1	Wadi Degla
24/09/25 Egypt Division 1	National Bank	1-1 HT 0-0	Wadi Degla
07/04/21 Egypt Division 1	Wadi Degla	4-2 HT 1-1	National Bank
11/02/21 Egypt Cup	Wadi Degla	3-1 HT 1-1	National Bank
12/12/20 Egypt Division 1	National Bank	1-1 HT 0-1	Wadi Degla

Standings · Egypt Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pyramids FC	6	6	0	0	13	2	18
2	Al Ahly Cairo	6	5	1	0	11	3	16
3	El Zamalek	6	4	1	1	8	3	13
4	Modern Sport FC	6	4	1	1	10	6	13
5	Al Ittihad Al Sakandary	6	4	1	1	8	4	13
6	Ceramica Cleopatra	6	4	0	2	11	7	12
7	National Bank	6	3	0	3	7	7	9
8	Al Moqawloon Al Arab	6	2	2	2	7	6	8
9	Petrojet	6	2	2	2	10	10	8
10	ZED FC	6	2	2	2	5	6	8
11	Al Qanah	6	1	4	1	6	6	7
12	El Masry	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
13	Smouha	6	2	1	3	2	4	7
14	Talaea El Geish	6	2	1	3	5	8	7
15	Wadi Degla	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
16	Asyut Petroleum	6	1	2	3	3	6	5
17	Enppi	6	1	1	4	8	12	4
18	Abo Qir Semad	6	1	0	5	2	10	3
19	El Gounah	6	0	2	4	4	8	2
20	Ghazl El Mahallah	6	0	1	5	1	10	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wadi Degla	National Bank
Petrojet	2-2 D	2-3 L
Talaea El Geish	2-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wadi Degla

WDDWDWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Petrojet Egypt Division 1	2-0	2-2	8	4	D
15/09	Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-2	7	6	L
09/09	Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-2	10	5	L
01/09	Al Qanah Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
28/08	Enppi Egypt Division 1	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
21/08	ZED FC Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
28/05	Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
21/05	ZED FC Egypt Division 1	0-1	2-2	3	4	D
18/05	Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/05	Ismaily SC Egypt Division 1	1-0	2-1	2	5	W

National Bank

LDWDLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
14/09	Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
07/09	Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1	2-1	3-1	9	0	W
31/08	Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/08	El Zamalek Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-3	5	7	L
21/08	Abo Qir Semad Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
29/05	Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1	1-2	2-2	8	5	D
22/05	Pharco FC Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
17/05	El Gounah Egypt Division 1	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
13/05	Petrojet Egypt Division 1	0-1	2-3	11	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wadi Degla vs National Bank?

According to our model, the most likely result is an National Bank win (37%). Probabilities: Wadi Degla 32%, draw 31%, National Bank 37%.

How many goals are expected in Wadi Degla vs National Bank?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Wadi Degla 1.12 · National Bank 1.24), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wadi Degla vs National Bank?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.