Football · Egypt Division 1 · 19/10, 19:00

Prediction: Enppi vs Al Moqawloon Al Arab

Team pages: Enppi · Al Moqawloon Al Arab

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Enppi1.22

Al Moqawloon Al Arab1.15

1X2

36% 32% 32%

Enppi Draw Al Moqawloon Al Arab

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Enppi 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLDWLL

Al Moqawloon Al Arab 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWLLWDWD

Head-to-head

Enppi 3–2–1 Al Moqawloon Al Arab (6 last)

Al Moqawloon Al Arab2-1Enppi
Enppi1-0Al Moqawloon Al Arab
Al Moqawloon Al Arab1-1Enppi
Enppi2-2Al Moqawloon Al Arab
Al Moqawloon Al Arab0-1Enppi
Enppi2-1Al Moqawloon Al Arab

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Enppi 1444 · Al Moqawloon Al Arab 1532

	Enppi	Draw	Al Moqawloon Al Arab
Our model	36%	30%	33%
Market	35%	33%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Moqawloon Al Arab (rating 1444 vs 1532).
H2H favours Enppi: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Enppi	Al Moqawloon Al Arab
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	2.1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	3.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.60

X2.75

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.73 ★
X	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.81
2	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.96

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:20 +4’	2.60	2.75	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:12 +250’	3.00	2.81	2.69
10:35 +61’	2.98▼	2.81	2.71▲
20:04 +9’	2.76▼	2.81	2.91▲
19:57 +22’	2.75▼	2.81	2.93▲
00:47 +40’	2.73▼	2.81	2.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Enppi 3–2–1 Al Moqawloon Al Arab

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/01/26 Egypt League Cup	Al Moqawloon Al Arab	2-1 HT 1-0	Enppi
30/11/25 Egypt Cup	Enppi	1-0 HT 0-0	Al Moqawloon Al Arab
17/10/25 Egypt Division 1	Al Moqawloon Al Arab	1-1 HT 1-1	Enppi
02/07/24 Egypt Division 1	Enppi	2-2 HT 1-1	Al Moqawloon Al Arab
14/02/24 Egypt Division 1	Al Moqawloon Al Arab	0-1 HT 0-0	Enppi
09/04/23 Egypt Division 1	Enppi	2-1 HT 2-1	Al Moqawloon Al Arab

Standings · Egypt Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pyramids FC	6	6	0	0	13	2	18
2	Al Ahly Cairo	6	5	1	0	11	3	16
3	El Zamalek	6	4	1	1	8	3	13
4	Modern Sport FC	6	4	1	1	10	6	13
5	Al Ittihad Al Sakandary	6	4	1	1	8	4	13
6	Ceramica Cleopatra	6	4	0	2	11	7	12
7	National Bank	6	3	0	3	7	7	9
8	Al Moqawloon Al Arab	6	2	2	2	7	6	8
9	Petrojet	6	2	2	2	10	10	8
10	ZED FC	6	2	2	2	5	6	8
11	Al Qanah	6	1	4	1	6	6	7
12	El Masry	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
13	Smouha	6	2	1	3	2	4	7
14	Talaea El Geish	6	2	1	3	5	8	7
15	Wadi Degla	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
16	Asyut Petroleum	6	1	2	3	3	6	5
17	Enppi	6	1	1	4	8	12	4
18	Abo Qir Semad	6	1	0	5	2	10	3
19	El Gounah	6	0	2	4	4	8	2
20	Ghazl El Mahallah	6	0	1	5	1	10	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Enppi	Al Moqawloon Al Arab
Modern Sport FC	2-3 L	3-1 W
ZED FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Wadi Degla	1-3 L	2-0 W
Al Ahly Cairo	2-3 L	1-1 D
El Masry	2-2 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Moqawloon Al Arab (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Enppi

DDLLLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1	2-3	2-3	9	4	L
17/09	Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-2	3	7	L
09/09	ZED FC Egypt Division 1	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
01/09	Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
28/08	Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1	1-1	1-3	7	4	L
23/08	Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1	2-1	2-3	1	2	L
05/05	Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1	0-2	0-3	6	2	L
01/05	Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1	2-3	2-3	5	7	L
27/04	El Zamalek Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
22/04	El Masry Egypt Division 1	2-1	2-2	2	5	D

Al Moqawloon Al Arab

DDDWLLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	ZED FC Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
15/09	Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
09/09	Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
02/09	El Gounah Egypt Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
27/08	El Masry Egypt Division 1	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
22/08	Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
29/05	Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1	2-0	3-1	10	2	W
23/05	Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1	2-1	2-2	2	5	D
18/05	Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
13/05	Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Enppi vs Al Moqawloon Al Arab?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Enppi win (36%). Probabilities: Enppi 36%, draw 32%, Al Moqawloon Al Arab 32%.

How many goals are expected in Enppi vs Al Moqawloon Al Arab?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Enppi 1.22 · Al Moqawloon Al Arab 1.15), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Enppi vs Al Moqawloon Al Arab?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.