Football · Egypt Division 1 · 20/10, 16:00

Prediction: ZED FC vs Modern Sport FC

Team pages: ZED FC · Modern Sport FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

ZED FC1.23

Modern Sport FC1

1X2

40% 32% 28%

ZED FC Draw Modern Sport FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

ZED FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDDLWLWD

Modern Sport FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLDWLWWW

Head-to-head

ZED FC 3–3–0 Modern Sport FC (6 last)

Modern Sport FC1-3ZED FC
ZED FC2-0Modern Sport FC
ZED FC2-2Modern Sport FC
Modern Sport FC0-0ZED FC
Modern Sport FC0-0ZED FC
ZED FC3-2Modern Sport FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ZED FC 1554 · Modern Sport FC 1532

	ZED FC	Draw	Modern Sport FC
Our model	40%	31%	29%
Market	40%	32%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours ZED FC: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ZED FC	Modern Sport FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.5	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.42 ★
X	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.82
2	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.41

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:20 +4’	2.30	2.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:14 +428’	2.42	2.84	3.39
19:57 +25’	2.54▲	2.81▼	3.21▼
17:34 +29’	2.42▼	2.82▲	3.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ZED FC 3–3–0 Modern Sport FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Egypt Division 1	Modern Sport FC	1-3 HT 0-2	ZED FC
11/03/26 Egypt Division 1	ZED FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Modern Sport FC
11/05/25 Egypt Division 1	ZED FC	2-2 HT 2-0	Modern Sport FC
24/11/24 Egypt Division 1	Modern Sport FC	0-0 HT 0-0	ZED FC
24/08/24 Egypt Cup	Modern Sport FC	0-0 HT 0-0	ZED FC
31/07/24 Egypt Division 1	ZED FC	3-2 HT 1-0	Modern Sport FC

Standings · Egypt Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pyramids FC	6	6	0	0	13	2	18
2	Al Ahly Cairo	6	5	1	0	11	3	16
3	El Zamalek	6	4	1	1	8	3	13
4	Modern Sport FC	6	4	1	1	10	6	13
5	Al Ittihad Al Sakandary	6	4	1	1	8	4	13
6	Ceramica Cleopatra	6	4	0	2	11	7	12
7	National Bank	6	3	0	3	7	7	9
8	Al Moqawloon Al Arab	6	2	2	2	7	6	8
9	Petrojet	6	2	2	2	10	10	8
10	ZED FC	6	2	2	2	5	6	8
11	Al Qanah	6	1	4	1	6	6	7
12	El Masry	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
13	Smouha	6	2	1	3	2	4	7
14	Talaea El Geish	6	2	1	3	5	8	7
15	Wadi Degla	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
16	Asyut Petroleum	6	1	2	3	3	6	5
17	Enppi	6	1	1	4	8	12	4
18	Abo Qir Semad	6	1	0	5	2	10	3
19	El Gounah	6	0	2	4	4	8	2
20	Ghazl El Mahallah	6	0	1	5	1	10	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ZED FC	Modern Sport FC
Al Moqawloon Al Arab	1-1 D	1-3 L
Enppi	1-2 L	3-2 W
Wadi Degla	0-0 D	2-1 W
Ghazl El Mahallah	3-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Modern Sport FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ZED FC

WDDDDLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
17/09	Al Qanah Egypt Division 1	0-0	2-1	9	3	W
09/09	Enppi Egypt Division 1	0-2	1-2	2	3	L
01/09	Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
28/08	Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
21/08	Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
29/05	Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
21/05	Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
17/05	Ismaily SC Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
13/05	Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1	1-1	3-2	2	2	W

Modern Sport FC

WDDLDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Enppi Egypt Division 1	3-2	3-2	3	4	W
15/09	Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 1	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
09/09	Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
02/09	Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
27/08	Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1	0-0	2-0	0	2	W
23/08	El Gounah Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
29/05	Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1	0-2	1-3	6	2	L
23/05	Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/05	Petrojet Egypt Division 1	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
12/05	Pharco FC Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ZED FC vs Modern Sport FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ZED FC win (40%). Probabilities: ZED FC 40%, draw 32%, Modern Sport FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in ZED FC vs Modern Sport FC?

The model expects 2.23 goals (ZED FC 1.23 · Modern Sport FC 1), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in ZED FC vs Modern Sport FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.