Football · Egypt Division 1 · 21/10, 16:00
Prediction: Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
Team pages: Ghazl El Mahallah · Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
Ghazl El Mahallah1.01
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary1.01
1X2
Ghazl El Mahallah
Draw
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Ghazl El Mahallah
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ghazl El Mahallah
3–2–1
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
(6 last)
- Ghazl El Mahallah1-0Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
- Al Ittihad Al Sakandary2-0Ghazl El Mahallah
- Al Ittihad Al Sakandary0-0Ghazl El Mahallah
- Ghazl El Mahallah0-0Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
- Ghazl El Mahallah2-0Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
- Al Ittihad Al Sakandary0-2Ghazl El Mahallah
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ghazl El Mahallah 1436 · Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 1543
| Ghazl El Mahallah | Draw | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.02 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ittihad Al Sakandary (rating 1436 vs 1543).
- H2H favours Ghazl El Mahallah: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ghazl El Mahallah | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.2 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ghazl El Mahallah 3–2–1 Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 Egypt Division 1 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary |
| 02/03/26 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ghazl El Mahallah |
| 10/05/25 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ghazl El Mahallah |
| 21/12/24 Egypt Division 1 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary |
| 31/03/23 Egypt Division 1 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary |
| 30/11/22 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Ghazl El Mahallah |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ahly Cairo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | El Zamalek | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Modern Sport FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | National Bank | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Petrojet | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | ZED FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Qanah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | El Masry | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Smouha | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | Talaea El Geish | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Asyut Petroleum | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 | Enppi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 18 | Abo Qir Semad | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
| 19 | El Gounah | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ghazl El Mahallah | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary |
|---|---|---|
| El Zamalek | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| National Bank | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Ittihad Al Sakandary (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ghazl El Mahallah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 01/09 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/08 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | ZED FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | El Gounah Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/09 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/09 | Abo Qir Semad Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/08 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Ismaily SC Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Al Sakandary?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ghazl El Mahallah win (33%). Probabilities: Ghazl El Mahallah 33%, draw 33%, Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 33%.
How many goals are expected in Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Al Sakandary?
The model expects 2.02 goals (Ghazl El Mahallah 1.01 · Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ghazl El Mahallah vs Al Ittihad Al Sakandary?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.