Football · Egypt Division 1 · 12/10, 19:00

Prediction: Smouha vs Ghazl El Mahallah

Team pages: Smouha · Ghazl El Mahallah

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.83Total
Smouha1.07
Ghazl El Mahallah0.76
1X2
41% 34% 25%
Smouha Draw Ghazl El Mahallah
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Smouha 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLDLLW
Ghazl El Mahallah 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLWDWLLDLL
Head-to-head
Smouha 2–2–2 Ghazl El Mahallah (6 last)
  • Smouha3-1Ghazl El Mahallah
  • Ghazl El Mahallah0-0Smouha
  • Ghazl El Mahallah1-0Smouha
  • Smouha2-4Ghazl El Mahallah
  • Ghazl El Mahallah0-2Smouha
  • Smouha0-0Ghazl El Mahallah
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Smouha 1436 · Ghazl El Mahallah 1441
SmouhaDrawGhazl El Mahallah
Our model41%35%24%
Market42%33%25%
Estimated total (ours) 1.83 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SmouhaGhazl El Mahallah
Goals for / against (FT)0.3 / 1.20.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.40.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/80/20%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.81.8 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.13.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Smouha 2–2–2 Ghazl El Mahallah

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/11/25
Egypt Cup
Smouha3-1
HT 1-0
Ghazl El Mahallah
16/08/25
Egypt Division 1
Ghazl El Mahallah0-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
11/04/25
Egypt Division 1
Ghazl El Mahallah1-0
HT 1-0
Smouha
26/12/24
Egypt Division 1
Smouha2-4
HT 1-1
Ghazl El Mahallah
02/05/23
Egypt Division 1
Ghazl El Mahallah0-2
HT 0-1
Smouha
30/12/22
Egypt Division 1
Smouha0-0
HT 0-0
Ghazl El Mahallah

Standings · Egypt Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pyramids FC 5500 9115
2 El Zamalek 5410 8113
3 Al Ahly Cairo 5410 9313
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5401 10312
5 Modern Sport FC 5311 7410
6 Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 5311 6310
7 Al Moqawloon Al Arab 5212 657
8 Petrojet 5212 887
9 Talaea El Geish 5212 557
10 ZED FC 5212 457
11 Al Qanah 5131 556
12 El Masry 5203 576
13 National Bank 5203 476
14 Wadi Degla 5122 455
15 Enppi 5113 694
16 Smouha 5113 144
17 Abo Qir Semad 5104 183
18 El Gounah 5023 362
19 Asyut Petroleum 5023 152
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5014 191

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSmouhaGhazl El Mahallah
Talaea El Geish 1-0 W 0-1 L
Pyramids FC 1-2 L 0-3 L
El Zamalek 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Smouha (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Smouha

LLLLLLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/09 Talaea El Geish
Egypt Division 1
0-0 1-0 16 W
08/09 Ceramica Cleopatra
Egypt Division 1
0-0 0-2 44 L
03/09 Al Ahly Cairo
Egypt Division 1
0-0 0-1 14 L
26/08 Asyut Petroleum
Egypt Division 1
0-0 0-0 103 D
22/08 El Masry
Egypt Division 1
0-0 0-1 16 L
20/05 Pyramids FC
Egypt Division 1
1-1 1-2 34 L
05/05 El Zamalek
Egypt Division 1
0-0 0-1 52 L
27/04 El Masry
Egypt Division 1
0-1 0-1 46 L
22/04 Ceramica Cleopatra
Egypt Division 1
0-1 0-2 85 L
11/04 Al Ahly Cairo
Egypt Division 1
1-1 1-2 14 L

Ghazl El Mahallah

LLWDWLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 El Zamalek
Egypt Division 1
0-0 0-1 35 L
07/09 National Bank
Egypt Division 1
1-2 1-3 80 L
01/09 Enppi
Egypt Division 1
0-0 0-0 25 D
27/08 Modern Sport FC
Egypt Division 1
0-0 0-2 42 L
22/08 Pyramids FC
Egypt Division 1
0-1 0-3 24 L
29/05 Haras El Hedoud
Egypt Division 1
2-1 4-2 02 W
23/05 Modern Sport FC
Egypt Division 1
0-0 0-0 05 D
18/05 Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
Egypt Division 1
0-0 1-0 45 W
13/05 ZED FC
Egypt Division 1
1-1 2-3 52 L
07/05 Talaea El Geish
Egypt Division 1
0-1 0-1 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Smouha vs Ghazl El Mahallah?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Smouha win (41%). Probabilities: Smouha 41%, draw 34%, Ghazl El Mahallah 25%.

How many goals are expected in Smouha vs Ghazl El Mahallah?

The model expects 1.83 goals (Smouha 1.07 · Ghazl El Mahallah 0.76), with a 55% chance of over 1.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Smouha vs Ghazl El Mahallah?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.