Football · Egypt Division 1 · 13/10, 19:00
Prediction: Al Ittihad Al Sakandary vs El Gounah
Team pages: Al Ittihad Al Sakandary · El Gounah
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.72Total
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary1.03
El Gounah0.69
1X2
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
Draw
El Gounah
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
El Gounah
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
1–2–3
El Gounah
(6 last)
- El Gounah0-0Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
- Al Ittihad Al Sakandary0-2El Gounah
- El Gounah2-0Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
- Al Ittihad Al Sakandary1-0El Gounah
- El Gounah2-1Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
- Al Ittihad Al Sakandary2-2El Gounah
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 1516 · El Gounah 1470
| Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | Draw | El Gounah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 36% | 23% |
| Market | 43% | 33% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.72 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ittihad Al Sakandary (rating 1516 vs 1470).
- H2H favours El Gounah: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | El Gounah | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 1–2–3 El Gounah
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Egypt Division 1 | El Gounah | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary |
| 23/11/25 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 0-2 HT 0-1 | El Gounah |
| 11/03/25 Egypt Division 1 | El Gounah | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary |
| 17/02/25 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 1-0 HT 0-0 | El Gounah |
| 27/04/24 Egypt Division 1 | El Gounah | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary |
| 06/10/23 Egypt Division 1 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 2-2 HT 0-1 | El Gounah |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | El Zamalek | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Cairo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Modern Sport FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Petrojet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Talaea El Geish | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | ZED FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Al Qanah | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | El Masry | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | National Bank | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Enppi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 16 | Smouha | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Abo Qir Semad | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | El Gounah | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 19 | Asyut Petroleum | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | El Gounah |
|---|---|---|
| National Bank | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Talaea El Geish | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Modern Sport FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/09 | Abo Qir Semad Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/08 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Ismaily SC Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
El Gounah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/09 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 02/09 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Al Qanah Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Petrojet Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Ittihad Al Sakandary vs El Gounah?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ittihad Al Sakandary win (42%). Probabilities: Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 42%, draw 34%, El Gounah 24%.
How many goals are expected in Al Ittihad Al Sakandary vs El Gounah?
The model expects 1.72 goals (Al Ittihad Al Sakandary 1.03 · El Gounah 0.69), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Ittihad Al Sakandary vs El Gounah?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.