Football · Chile Primera B · 09/08, 21:00
Prediction: Rangers de Talca vs Curico Unido
Team pages: Rangers de Talca · Curico Unido
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Rangers de Talca0.9
Curico Unido0.99
1X2
Rangers de Talca
Draw
Curico Unido
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Rangers de Talca
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Curico Unido
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rangers de Talca
3–3
Curico Unido
(6 last)
- Curico Unido1-0Rangers de Talca
- Rangers de Talca1-2Curico Unido
- Curico Unido0-1Rangers de Talca
- Curico Unido0-1Rangers de Talca
- Rangers de Talca0-1Curico Unido
- Curico Unido0-2Rangers de Talca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rangers de Talca 1430 · Curico Unido 1522
| Rangers de Talca | Draw | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Curico Unido (rating 1430 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rangers de Talca | Curico Unido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rangers de Talca 3–0–3 Curico Unido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 08/02/26 Chile Cup | Rangers de Talca | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 02/02/26 Chile Cup | Curico Unido | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Rangers de Talca |
| 16/08/25 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Rangers de Talca |
| 12/04/25 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 14/09/24 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rangers de Talca |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | Puerto Montt | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 29 |
| 5 | San Marcos De Arica | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportes Copiapo | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Magallanes | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 25 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 23 |
| 11 | Deportes Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 23 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 19 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 17 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 13 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rangers de Talca | Curico Unido |
|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| San Luis Quillota | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Cobreloa | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Santiago Wanderers | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Curico Unido (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Curico Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rangers de Talca vs Curico Unido?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Curico Unido win (37%). Probabilities: Rangers de Talca 32%, draw 31%, Curico Unido 37%.
How many goals are expected in Rangers de Talca vs Curico Unido?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Rangers de Talca 0.9 · Curico Unido 0.99), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rangers de Talca vs Curico Unido?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.