Football · Chile Primera B · 09/08, 18:30
Prediction: Deportes Copiapo vs San Luis Quillota
Team pages: Deportes Copiapo · San Luis Quillota
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Deportes Copiapo1.31
San Luis Quillota1.07
1X2
Deportes Copiapo
Draw
San Luis Quillota
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Copiapo
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
San Luis Quillota
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Copiapo
2–4–0
San Luis Quillota
(6 last)
- San Luis Quillota2-2Deportes Copiapo
- San Luis Quillota1-1Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo1-0San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota0-0Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo3-0San Luis Quillota
- Deportes Copiapo1-1San Luis Quillota
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Copiapo 1487 · San Luis Quillota 1542
| Deportes Copiapo | Draw | San Luis Quillota | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Luis Quillota (rating 1487 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Deportes Copiapo: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Copiapo | San Luis Quillota | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 3.5 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Copiapo 2–4–0 San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 08/02/26 Chile Cup | San Luis Quillota | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 01/02/26 Chile Cup | Deportes Copiapo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 25/10/25 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 17/06/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 3-0 HT 2-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 16/08/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | Puerto Montt | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 29 |
| 5 | San Marcos De Arica | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportes Copiapo | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Magallanes | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 25 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 23 |
| 11 | Deportes Recoleta | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 19 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 16 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 13 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Copiapo | San Luis Quillota |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers de Talca | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Everton de Vina | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Universidad Catolica | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: San Luis Quillota (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 02/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 04/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Copiapo vs San Luis Quillota?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Copiapo win (41%). Probabilities: Deportes Copiapo 41%, draw 29%, San Luis Quillota 30%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Copiapo vs San Luis Quillota?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Deportes Copiapo 1.31 · San Luis Quillota 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Copiapo vs San Luis Quillota?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.