Football · Brazil Serie C · 09/08, 23:30

Prediction: Maranhao vs Brusque

Team pages: Maranhao · Brusque

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Maranhao1.06
Brusque0.87
1X2
39% 32% 29%
Maranhao Draw Brusque
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Maranhao 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WLDDDLDLWD
Brusque 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLWDLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maranhao 1486 · Brusque 1510
MaranhaoDrawBrusque
Our model38%34%28%
Market40%31%30%
Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MaranhaoBrusque
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 0.61.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.20.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.93.7 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.24.7 / 0.1

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 15834 211527
2 Guarani 15753 281526
3 Botafogo PB 15816 211625
4 Inter de Limeira 15744 181725
5 Santa Cruz FC 15735 151124
6 Paysandu 15726 232123
7 Maringa FC 15654 282523
8 Ferroviaria SP 15654 151223
9 Ypiranga RS 15636 181921
10 Caxias RS 15564 141221
11 Floresta EC 15564 161521
12 Amazonas FC 15627 152020
13 Figueirense 15555 131820
14 Ituano 15546 161719
15 Volta Redonda 15537 111918
16 Maranhao 15465 111418
17 Itabaiana 15456 131817
18 Barra FC 15366 171715
19 Anapolis FC 15339 131912
20 AD Confianca 15339 91512

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMaranhaoBrusque
Ferroviaria SP 0-0 D 0-1 L
Ypiranga RS 2-1 W 3-0 W
Ituano 0-0 D 1-0 W
Anapolis FC 0-0 D 1-0 W
Botafogo PB 3-1 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brusque (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maranhao

WLDDDLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 48 D
12/07 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-1 65 W
04/07 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 107 L
29/06 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 37 D
21/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 53 L
16/06 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 14 D
31/05 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 34 D
24/05 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 46 D
19/05 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-2 74 L
09/05 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
2-1 3-1 69 W

Brusque

WLWDLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 46 W
14/07 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 53 L
07/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
1-0 3-1 56 W
01/07 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-2 94 L
21/06 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 82 W
14/06 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 57 L
02/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 133 D
24/05 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 65 W
17/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 39 L
11/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 3-0 93 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maranhao vs Brusque?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maranhao win (39%). Probabilities: Maranhao 39%, draw 32%, Brusque 29%.

How many goals are expected in Maranhao vs Brusque?

The model expects 1.93 goals (Maranhao 1.06 · Brusque 0.87), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Maranhao vs Brusque?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.