Prediction: Barra FC vs Itabaiana
Team pages: Barra FC · Itabaiana
| Barra FC | Draw | Itabaiana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 33% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Itabaiana (rating 1443 vs 1528).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barra FC | Itabaiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 2.9 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter de Limeira | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Brusque | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Paysandu | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 26 |
| 5 | Guarani | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 26 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 25 |
| 7 | Ypiranga RS | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Caxias RS | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 24 |
| 9 | Ferroviaria SP | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 24 |
| 10 | Amazonas FC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 11 | Maringa FC | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 23 |
| 12 | Ituano | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | Floresta EC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
| 14 | Maranhao | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 21 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 21 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 18 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 17 |
| 18 | Anapolis FC | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 15 |
| 19 | Barra FC | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 19 | 15 |
| 20 | AD Confianca | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barra FC | Itabaiana |
|---|---|---|
| Ituano | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| AD Confianca | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Amazonas FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Ferroviaria SP | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Brusque | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Anapolis FC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Itabaiana (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barra FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/06 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Itabaiana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 14/07 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/07 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barra FC vs Itabaiana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barra FC win (47%). Probabilities: Barra FC 47%, draw 31%, Itabaiana 22%.
How many goals are expected in Barra FC vs Itabaiana?
The model expects 1.95 goals (Barra FC 1.21 · Itabaiana 0.75), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Barra FC vs Itabaiana?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.