Prediction: Ituano vs Barra FC
| Ituano | Draw | Barra FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ituano | Barra FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7.1 | 1.2 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 27 |
| 2 | Guarani | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 25 |
| 4 | Inter de Limeira | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 25 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 24 |
| 6 | Paysandu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Maringa FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 23 |
| 8 | Ferroviaria SP | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 23 |
| 9 | Ypiranga RS | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 10 | Caxias RS | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 21 |
| 11 | Floresta EC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 21 |
| 12 | Amazonas FC | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 20 |
| 13 | Figueirense | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 20 |
| 14 | Ituano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 19 |
| 15 | Volta Redonda | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 18 |
| 16 | Maranhao | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 18 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 17 |
| 18 | Barra FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 19 | Anapolis FC | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 12 |
| 20 | AD Confianca | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ituano | Barra FC |
|---|---|---|
| Brusque | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Ferroviaria SP | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Santa Cruz FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Guarani | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| AD Confianca | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Barra FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ituano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 29/06 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 11/05 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Barra FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/06 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Corinthians Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ituano vs Barra FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ituano win (48%). Probabilities: Ituano 48%, draw 30%, Barra FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in Ituano vs Barra FC?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Ituano 1.31 · Barra FC 0.81), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ituano vs Barra FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.

